Derde Divisie · Regular Season - 10
PurmersteijnvsSparta Nijkerk
RealScored · Match preview
Match prediction · 17 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Derde Divisie
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
Purmersteijn vs Sparta Nijkerk: match review and analysis
Purmersteijn vs Sparta Nijkerk in Derde Divisie on 17 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Purmersteijn recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 18 and conceding 14. Sparta Nijkerk recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses, with 24 scored and 16 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Purmersteijn | Sparta Nijkerk |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 6 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 18 | 24 |
| Goals conceded | 14 | 16 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 10 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Purmersteijn: (1.93 weighted goals scored + 1.32 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.62 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Sparta Nijkerk: (2.31 weighted goals scored + 1.47 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.89 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Purmersteijn recent form
1.80 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ACVDerde Divisie | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Harkemase BoysDerde Divisie | Home | 4–2 | Won | |
| SC GenemuidenDerde Divisie | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| ZwaluwenKNVB Beker | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| ADO '20Derde Divisie | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Excelsior '31Derde Divisie | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| DovoDerde Divisie | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Zwaluw VFCKNVB Beker | Home | 4–3 | Won | |
| HoogeveenDerde Divisie | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Sportlust '46Derde Divisie | Away | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Purmersteijn’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Sparta Nijkerk recent form
2.40 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VV ScherpenzeelDerde Divisie | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| SVZWDerde Divisie | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| StaphorstDerde Divisie | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| UDI '19KNVB Beker | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| EemdijkDerde Divisie | Away | 4–0 | Won | |
| HerculesDerde Divisie | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| DVS 33 ErmeloDerde Divisie | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| VenrayKNVB Beker | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| HollandiaDerde Divisie | Home | 5–5 | Draw | |
| TECDerde Divisie | Away | 1–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Sparta Nijkerk’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Derde Divisie — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Purmersteijn are ranked 8 in Derde Divisie, with 15 points from 9 games.
Sparta Nijkerk are ranked 9 in Derde Divisie, with 14 points from 9 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VV Scherpenzeel | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 22 |
| 1 | Noordwijk | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 2 | 17 | 22 |
| 2 | SC Genemuiden | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 10 | 12 | 21 |
| 2 | FC Lisse | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 22 |
| 3 | ACV | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 20 |
| 3 | Rijnvogels | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 9 | 16 | 20 |
| 4 | Harkemase Boys | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 20 |
| 4 | Excelsior Maassluis | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 20 |
| 5 | Excelsior '31 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 19 |
| 5 | UDI '19 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 17 |
| 6 | TEC | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 16 | 12 | 19 |
| 6 | Zwaluwen | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 16 |
| 7 | Sportlust '46 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 16 |
| 7 | GOES | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 14 |
| 8 | Purmersteijn | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 15 |
| 8 | Dongen | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 13 |
| 9 | Sparta Nijkerk | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 14 |
| 9 | Blauw Geel | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 12 |
| 10 | Hoogeveen | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 13 |
| 10 | Poortugaal | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 12 |
| 11 | ADO '20 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 13 |
| 11 | Gemert | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 10 |
| 12 | Hercules | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 20 | -8 | 10 |
| 12 | Roosendaal | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 9 |
| 13 | DVS 33 Ermelo | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 6 |
| 13 | Groene Ster | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 9 |
| 14 | Staphorst | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 6 |
| 14 | UNA | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 8 |
| 15 | Dovo | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 22 | -12 | 5 |
| 15 | TOGB | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 8 |
| 16 | Eemdijk | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 28 | -17 | 4 |
| 16 | Vvsb | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 7 |
| 17 | Hollandia | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 1 |
| 17 | Achilles Veen | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 6 |
| 18 | SVZW | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 27 | -18 | 1 |
| 18 | EVV | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 2 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.