I Liga · Regular Season - 10
Puszcza NiepołomicevsPolonia Bytom
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- I Liga
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Puszcza Niepołomice vs Polonia Bytom: match review and analysis
Puszcza Niepołomice vs Polonia Bytom in I Liga on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Puszcza Niepołomice recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 7 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 13 and conceding 16. Polonia Bytom recorded 1 wins, 6 draws and 3 losses, with 13 scored and 19 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Puszcza Niepołomice | Polonia Bytom |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 6 |
| Losses | 7 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 13 | 13 |
| Goals conceded | 16 | 19 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Puszcza Niepołomice: (1.45 weighted goals scored + 1.99 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.72 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Polonia Bytom: (1.29 weighted goals scored + 1.67 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.48 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Puszcza Niepołomice recent form
1.30 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wieczysta KrakówFriendlies Clubs | Away | 3–4 | Lost | |
| Warta PoznańI Liga | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| ŁKS ŁódźI Liga | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Wisła Płock IICup | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| PodbeskidzieI Liga | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Unia SkierniewiceI Liga | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Arka GdyniaI Liga | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Odra OpoleI Liga | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiI Liga | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Polonia WarszawaI Liga | Home | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Puszcza Niepołomice’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Polonia Bytom recent form
1.30 goals scored and 1.90 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raków CzęstochowaFriendlies Clubs | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Ruch ChorzówI Liga | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Widzew IICup | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Polonia WarszawaI Liga | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| PodbeskidzieI Liga | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Arka GdyniaI Liga | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiI Liga | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Stal MielecI Liga | Away | 2–5 | Lost | |
| Pogoń SiedlceI Liga | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| ŁKS ŁódźI Liga | Away | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Polonia Bytom’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
I Liga — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Polonia Bytom are ranked 16 in I Liga, with 9 points from 9 games.
Puszcza Niepołomice are ranked 18 in I Liga, with 6 points from 8 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 18 |
| 2 | Nieciecza | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 16 |
| 3 | Warta Poznań | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 15 |
| 4 | ŁKS Łódź | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 15 |
| 5 | Miedz Legnica | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 14 |
| 6 | Polonia Warszawa | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 14 |
| 7 | Stal Rzeszów | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 14 |
| 8 | Lechia Gdansk | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 13 |
| 9 | Chrobry Głogów | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 12 |
| 10 | Pogoń Siedlce | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 12 |
| 11 | Ruch Chorzów | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 12 |
| 12 | Arka Gdynia | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 11 |
| 13 | Podbeskidzie | 10 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 11 |
| 14 | Unia Skierniewice | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 10 |
| 15 | Odra Opole | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 9 |
| 16 | Polonia Bytom | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 9 |
| 17 | Stal Mielec | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 9 |
| 18 | Puszcza Niepołomice | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 6 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.