League One · Regular Season - 9
Queen of the South4–3Cove Rangers
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
Match Finished
This match has finished. Go back home for the latest fixtures →
THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- League One
- Venue
- Palmerston Park
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 4–3
- 90-minute score
- 4–3
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Queen of the South vs Cove Rangers: match review and analysis
Queen of the South vs Cove Rangers in League One on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 4–3. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Queen of the South recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 12 and conceding 22. Cove Rangers recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses, with 20 scored and 11 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Queen of the South | Cove Rangers |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 5 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 12 | 20 |
| Goals conceded | 22 | 11 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Queen of the South: (1.47 weighted goals scored + 1.10 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.29 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Cove Rangers: (2.13 weighted goals scored + 2.12 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.12 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Queen of the South recent form
1.20 goals scored and 2.20 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rangers U21Challenge Cup | Home | 4–2 | Won | |
| Annan AthleticChallenge Cup | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Hamilton AcademicalLeague One | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Ross CountyLeague One | Away | 0–8 | Lost | |
| East FifeLeague One | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Edinburgh CityChallenge Cup | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Airdrie UnitedLeague One | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| MontroseLeague One | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Hibernian U21Challenge Cup | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Alloa AthleticLeague One | Home | 0–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Queen of the South’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Cove Rangers recent form
2.00 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aberdeen U21Challenge Cup | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| FraserburghChallenge Cup | Away | 5–0 | Won | |
| Ross CountyLeague One | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| MontroseLeague One | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| DumbartonChallenge Cup | Home | 6–1 | Won | |
| Alloa AthleticLeague One | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Hamilton AcademicalLeague One | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Dundee United IIChallenge Cup | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| PeterheadLeague One | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| East KilbrideLeague One | Away | 0–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Cove Rangers’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
League One — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Queen of the South are ranked 9 in Division2, with 7 points from 9 games.
Cove Rangers are ranked 10 in Division2, with 5 points from 9 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ross County | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 26 | 5 | 21 | 22 |
| 2 | Hamilton Academical | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 2 | 16 | 22 |
| 3 | East Kilbride | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 16 |
| 4 | Montrose | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
| 5 | Airdrie United | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 12 |
| 6 | Alloa Athletic | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 9 |
| 7 | East Fife | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 8 |
| 8 | Peterhead | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 7 |
| 9 | Queen of the South | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 7 |
| 10 | Cove Rangers | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 5 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.