Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 · Group 14 - 5
QuintanavsCastuera
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 4 October 2026
Match Postponed
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawPostponed
Based on 4 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Tercera División RFEF - Group 14
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Postponed
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Quintana vs Castuera: match review and analysis
Quintana vs Castuera in Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 on 4 October 2026. Match status: Match Postponed.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Quintana recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses in the 4 games used here, scoring 2 and conceding 5. Castuera recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses, with 15 scored and 14 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Quintana | Castuera |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 4 | 10 |
| Wins | 1 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 2 | 15 |
| Goals conceded | 5 | 14 |
| Over 1.5 games | 2 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Quintana: (0.47 weighted goals scored + 1.24 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.86 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Castuera: (1.37 weighted goals scored + 1.06 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.21 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 4 GAMES
Quintana recent form
0.50 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per game. 2 of 4 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Puebla CalzadaTercera División RFEF - Group 14 | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| GévoraTercera División RFEF - Group 14 | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Santa AmaliaTercera División RFEF - Group 14 | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| CD ZafraTercera División RFEF - Group 14 | Home | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Quintana’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded. Only 4 usable previous results were available.
LAST 10 GAMES
Castuera recent form
1.50 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PlasenciaTercera División RFEF - Group 14 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| JerezTercera División RFEF - Group 14 | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Puebla CalzadaTercera División RFEF - Group 14 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| GévoraTercera División RFEF - Group 14 | Home | 5–0 | Won | |
| BadajozTercera División RFEF - Group 14 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| TrujilloTercera División RFEF - Group 14 | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Atlético PueblonuevoTercera División RFEF - Group 14 | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Puebla CalzadaTercera División RFEF - Group 14 | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Extremadura 1924Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| JaraízTercera División RFEF - Group 14 | Home | 3–3 | Draw |
Scores shown from Castuera’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Castuera are ranked 4 in Group 14, with 9 points from 4 games.
Quintana are ranked 14 in Group 14, with 4 points from 4 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Azuaga | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 2 | 12 | 15 |
| 2 | Moralo | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 11 |
| 3 | Llerenense | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 |
| 4 | Castuera | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 5 | Puebla Calzada | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| 6 | Gévora | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 8 |
| 7 | CD Zafra | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 8 | Villanovense | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| 9 | Santa Amalia | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 6 |
| 10 | Montijo | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 6 |
| 11 | Cabeza Buey | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 5 |
| 12 | Jerez | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 4 |
| 13 | Jaraíz | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 | Quintana | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 4 |
| 15 | Villafranca | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 3 |
| 16 | Atlético Pueblonuevo | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 3 |
| 17 | Plasencia | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 1 |
| 18 | Guadiana | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 11 | -9 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.