Non League Premier - Northern · Regular Season - 12
Quorn2–2Ashton United
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 6 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Non League Premier - Northern
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 2–2
- 90-minute score
- 2–2
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Quorn vs Ashton United: match review and analysis
Quorn vs Ashton United in Non League Premier - Northern on 6 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 2–2. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Quorn recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 20 and conceding 22. Ashton United recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses, with 12 scored and 13 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Quorn | Ashton United |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 4 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 20 | 12 |
| Goals conceded | 22 | 13 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Quorn: (2.30 weighted goals scored + 1.44 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.87 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Ashton United: (1.30 weighted goals scored + 2.27 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.78 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Quorn recent form
2.00 goals scored and 2.20 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bamber BridgeNon League Premier - Northern | Away | 4–2 | Won | |
| LeamingtonFA Trophy | Home | 4–2 | Won | |
| Kettering TownFA Cup | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Guiseley AFCNon League Premier - Northern | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Shepshed DynamoFA Cup | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Ilkeston TownNon League Premier - Northern | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Whitby TownNon League Premier - Northern | Home | 3–6 | Lost | |
| Gainsborough TrinityNon League Premier - Northern | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Lancaster CityNon League Premier - Northern | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| RylandsNon League Premier - Northern | Away | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Quorn’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Ashton United recent form
1.20 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warrington TownFA Trophy | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| BuxtonFA Cup | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Cleethorpes TownNon League Premier - Northern | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Whitby TownFA Cup | Away | 5–2 | Won | |
| Curzon AshtonNon League Premier - Northern | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Gainsborough TrinityNon League Premier - Northern | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Ilkeston TownNon League Premier - Northern | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| AFC EmleyNon League Premier - Northern | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Whitby TownNon League Premier - Northern | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Bamber BridgeNon League Premier - Northern | Away | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Ashton United’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Non League Premier - Northern — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Ashton United are ranked 14 in Regular Season, with 12 points from 10 games.
Quorn are ranked 18 in Regular Season, with 10 points from 11 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cleethorpes Town | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 27 | 7 | 20 | 27 |
| 2 | Avro | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 33 | 19 | 14 | 25 |
| 3 | Redcar Athletic | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 25 |
| 4 | Guiseley AFC | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
| 5 | Workington | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 21 |
| 6 | Rylands | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 20 |
| 7 | Curzon Ashton | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 19 |
| 8 | Alfreton Town | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 18 |
| 9 | Warrington Town | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 18 |
| 10 | Bury | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 16 |
| 11 | Gainsborough Trinity | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 16 |
| 12 | Lancaster City | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 16 |
| 13 | Hyde United | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 14 |
| 14 | Ashton United | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 12 |
| 15 | Whitby Town | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 12 |
| 16 | Stockton Town | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 11 |
| 17 | Leek Town | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 10 |
| 18 | Quorn | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 10 |
| 19 | AFC Emley | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 22 | -12 | 10 |
| 20 | Bamber Bridge | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 31 | -15 | 9 |
| 21 | Ilkeston Town | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 26 | -19 | 7 |
| 22 | United of Manchester | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 20 | -8 | 5 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.