NWSL Women · Group Stage
Racing Louisville W1–1Utah Royals W
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
Match Finished
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- NWSL Women
- Venue
- Lynn Family Stadium
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–1
- 90-minute score
- 1–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Racing Louisville W vs Utah Royals W: match review and analysis
Racing Louisville W vs Utah Royals W in NWSL Women on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Racing Louisville W recorded 4 wins, 0 draws and 6 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 16 and conceding 18. Utah Royals W recorded 5 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses, with 17 scored and 17 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Racing Louisville W | Utah Royals W |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 5 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 6 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 16 | 17 |
| Goals conceded | 18 | 17 |
| Over 1.5 games | 10 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Racing Louisville W: (1.25 weighted goals scored + 1.67 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.46 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Utah Royals W: (1.56 weighted goals scored + 1.85 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.71 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Racing Louisville W recent form
1.60 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego Wave WNWSL Women | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Bay FC WNWSL Women | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| NJ/NY Gotham FC WNWSL Women | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Angel City WNWSL Women | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| San Diego Wave WNWSL Women | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Chicago Red Stars WNWSL Women | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Seattle Reign FC WNWSL Women | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Boston Legacy WNWSL Women | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| Orlando Pride WNWSL Women | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Chicago Red Stars WNWSL Women | Home | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Racing Louisville W’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Utah Royals W recent form
1.70 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Carolina Courage WNWSL Women | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Angel City WNWSL Women | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Houston Dash WNWSL Women | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Boston Legacy WNWSL Women | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Orlando Pride WNWSL Women | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| San Diego Wave WNWSL Women | Away | 2–4 | Lost | |
| Bay FC WNWSL Women | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| Denver Summit WNWSL Women | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Portland Thorns WNWSL Women | Home | 5–1 | Won | |
| Washington Spirit WNWSL Women | Home | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Utah Royals W’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
NWSL Women — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Utah Royals W are ranked 4 in Nwsl Women, with 46 points from 27 games.
Racing Louisville W are ranked 15 in Nwsl Women, with 24 points from 27 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NJ/NY Gotham FC W | 27 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 35 | 21 | 14 | 55 |
| 2 | San Diego Wave W | 27 | 16 | 3 | 8 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 51 |
| 3 | Washington Spirit W | 27 | 15 | 4 | 8 | 39 | 26 | 13 | 49 |
| 4 | Utah Royals W | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 44 | 35 | 9 | 46 |
| 5 | Kansas City W | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 48 | 38 | 10 | 44 |
| 6 | Angel City W | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 45 | 29 | 16 | 43 |
| 7 | Portland Thorns W | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 45 | 39 | 6 | 43 |
| 8 | North Carolina Courage W | 27 | 13 | 3 | 11 | 50 | 39 | 11 | 42 |
| 9 | Seattle Reign FC W | 27 | 12 | 4 | 11 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 40 |
| 10 | Denver Summit W | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 38 |
| 11 | Orlando Pride W | 27 | 10 | 3 | 14 | 36 | 43 | -7 | 33 |
| 12 | Houston Dash W | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 30 |
| 13 | Boston Legacy W | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 29 |
| 14 | Bay FC W | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 28 | 42 | -14 | 26 |
| 15 | Racing Louisville W | 27 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 24 |
| 16 | Chicago Red Stars W | 27 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 15 | 63 | -48 | 17 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.