Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 10
FULL-TIME
Radomiak Radom2–3Motor Lublin
RealScored · Match result
Match prediction · 12 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Ekstraklasa
- Venue
- Stadion Radomiaka Radom
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 2–3
- 90-minute score
- 2–3
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
Radomiak Radom vs Motor Lublin: match review and analysis
Radomiak Radom vs Motor Lublin in Ekstraklasa on 12 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 2–3. Review the team form and league context below.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Radomiak Radom recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 13 and conceding 19. Motor Lublin recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses, with 12 scored and 15 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Radomiak Radom | Motor Lublin |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 4 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 13 | 12 |
| Goals conceded | 19 | 15 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Radomiak Radom: (1.79 weighted goals scored + 1.50 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.65 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Motor Lublin: (1.16 weighted goals scored + 1.86 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.51 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Radomiak Radom recent form
1.30 goals scored and 1.90 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiFriendlies Clubs | Home | 7–2 | Won | |
| Lech PoznanEkstraklasa | Away | 1–5 | Lost | |
| Piast GliwiceEkstraklasa | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Widzew ŁódźEkstraklasa | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Korona Kielce IICup | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Cracovia KrakowEkstraklasa | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Zaglebie LubinEkstraklasa | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Legia WarszawaEkstraklasa | Away | 0–5 | Lost | |
| AELFriendlies Clubs | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Gornik ZabrzeEkstraklasa | Home | 1–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Radomiak Radom’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Motor Lublin recent form
1.20 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gornik ZabrzeEkstraklasa | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Raków CzęstochowaEkstraklasa | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Legia WarszawaEkstraklasa | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Legia WarszawaCup | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Piast GliwiceEkstraklasa | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Korona KielceEkstraklasa | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| GKS KatowiceEkstraklasa | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Pogon SzczecinEkstraklasa | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| JagielloniaEkstraklasa | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Widzew ŁódźEkstraklasa | Away | 2–2 | Draw |
Scores shown from Motor Lublin’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Ekstraklasa — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Motor Lublin are ranked 14 in Ekstraklasa, with 9 points from 10 games.
Radomiak Radom are ranked 16 in Ekstraklasa, with 8 points from 10 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gornik Zabrze | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 25 |
| 2 | Lech Poznan | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 8 | 13 | 22 |
| 3 | Legia Warszawa | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 21 | 8 | 13 | 22 |
| 4 | Pogon Szczecin | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 18 |
| 5 | Wisla Krakow | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 17 |
| 6 | Piast Gliwice | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 16 |
| 7 | GKS Katowice | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 15 |
| 8 | Korona Kielce | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 15 |
| 9 | Zaglebie Lubin | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 15 |
| 10 | Jagiellonia | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 12 |
| 11 | Cracovia Krakow | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 11 |
| 12 | Wisla Plock | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 11 |
| 13 | Widzew Łódź | 10 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 9 |
| 14 | Motor Lublin | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 | Wieczysta Kraków | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 8 |
| 16 | Radomiak Radom | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 23 | -14 | 8 |
| 17 | Slask Wroclaw | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 6 |
| 18 | Raków Częstochowa | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 3 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.