Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 10
Raków CzęstochowavsGKS Katowice
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 9 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Ekstraklasa
- Venue
- Miejski Stadion Piłkarski Raków w Częstochowie
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Raków Częstochowa vs GKS Katowice: match review and analysis
Raków Częstochowa vs GKS Katowice in Ekstraklasa on 9 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Raków Częstochowa recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 18 and conceding 22. GKS Katowice recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses, with 18 scored and 15 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Raków Częstochowa | GKS Katowice |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 5 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 6 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 18 | 18 |
| Goals conceded | 22 | 15 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Raków Częstochowa: (2.05 weighted goals scored + 1.66 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.85 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
GKS Katowice: (1.60 weighted goals scored + 2.15 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.87 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Raków Częstochowa recent form
1.80 goals scored and 2.20 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polonia BytomFriendlies Clubs | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| Korona KielceEkstraklasa | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Zaglebie LubinEkstraklasa | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Motor LublinEkstraklasa | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Lech PoznanEkstraklasa | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Gornik ZabrzeEkstraklasa | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| JagielloniaEkstraklasa | Home | 2–5 | Lost | |
| HNK Hajduk SplitUEFA Europa Conference League | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| HNK Hajduk SplitUEFA Europa Conference League | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Cracovia KrakowEkstraklasa | Away | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Raków Częstochowa’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
GKS Katowice recent form
1.80 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baník OstravaFriendlies Clubs | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Cracovia KrakowEkstraklasa | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| Zaglebie LubinEkstraklasa | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Piast GliwiceEkstraklasa | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Gornik ZabrzeEkstraklasa | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| Wisla PlockEkstraklasa | Home | 5–0 | Won | |
| Motor LublinEkstraklasa | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Hapoel Tel AvivUEFA Europa Conference League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Hapoel Tel AvivUEFA Europa Conference League | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Radomiak RadomEkstraklasa | Home | 3–1 | Won |
Scores shown from GKS Katowice’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Ekstraklasa — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
GKS Katowice are ranked 9 in Ekstraklasa, with 12 points from 8 games.
Raków Częstochowa are ranked 18 in Ekstraklasa, with 3 points from 9 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gornik Zabrze | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 22 |
| 2 | Legia Warszawa | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 19 |
| 3 | Lech Poznan | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 19 |
| 4 | Wisla Krakow | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 17 |
| 5 | Pogon Szczecin | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 15 |
| 6 | Korona Kielce | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 15 |
| 7 | Zaglebie Lubin | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 15 |
| 8 | Piast Gliwice | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 13 |
| 9 | GKS Katowice | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 12 |
| 10 | Jagiellonia | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 12 |
| 11 | Wisla Plock | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 11 |
| 12 | Widzew Łódź | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 9 |
| 13 | Cracovia Krakow | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 8 |
| 14 | Radomiak Radom | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 8 |
| 15 | Slask Wroclaw | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 6 |
| 16 | Motor Lublin | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 6 |
| 17 | Wieczysta Kraków | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 5 |
| 18 | Raków Częstochowa | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 3 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.