Frauen Bundesliga · Regular Season - 6
RB Leipzig W5–0Mainz 05 W
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Frauen Bundesliga
- Venue
- RB-Training Center Cottaweg
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 5–0
- 90-minute score
- 5–0
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
RB Leipzig W vs Mainz 05 W: match review and analysis
RB Leipzig W vs Mainz 05 W in Frauen Bundesliga on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 5–0. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
RB Leipzig W recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 11 and conceding 16. Mainz 05 W recorded 5 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses, with 25 scored and 16 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | RB Leipzig W | Mainz 05 W |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 5 |
| Draws | 3 | 0 |
| Losses | 5 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 11 | 25 |
| Goals conceded | 16 | 16 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 10 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
RB Leipzig W: (1.19 weighted goals scored + 1.77 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.48 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Mainz 05 W: (2.54 weighted goals scored + 1.54 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.04 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
RB Leipzig W recent form
1.10 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blau-Gelb Marburg WDFB Pokal - Women | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Union Berlin WFrauen Bundesliga | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Nürnberg WFrauen Bundesliga | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Hamburger SV WFrauen Bundesliga | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Werder Bremen WFrauen Bundesliga | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Bayer Leverkusen WFrauen Bundesliga | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| 1899 Hoffenheim WFrauen Bundesliga | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Bayer Leverkusen WFrauen Bundesliga | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| VfL Wolfsburg WFrauen Bundesliga | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Werder Bremen WFrauen Bundesliga | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from RB Leipzig W’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Mainz 05 W recent form
2.50 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ingolstadt WDFB Pokal - Women | Away | 6–1 | Won | |
| Eintracht Frankfurt WFrauen Bundesliga | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| SC Freiburg WFrauen Bundesliga | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| FC Koln WFrauen Bundesliga | Home | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Bayern Munich WFrauen Bundesliga | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Werder Bremen WFrauen Bundesliga | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Warbeyen W2. Frauen Bundesliga | Away | 5–0 | Won | |
| Ingolstadt W2. Frauen Bundesliga | Home | 5–0 | Won | |
| Wolfsburg II W2. Frauen Bundesliga | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Bochum W2. Frauen Bundesliga | Home | 3–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Mainz 05 W’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Frauen Bundesliga — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
RB Leipzig W are ranked 9 in Bundesliga Women, with 7 points from 6 games.
Mainz 05 W are ranked 14 in Bundesliga Women, with 0 points from 6 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich W | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 18 |
| 2 | VfL Wolfsburg W | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 15 |
| 3 | Eintracht Frankfurt W | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 13 |
| 4 | Bayer Leverkusen W | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 12 |
| 5 | Werder Bremen W | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 10 |
| 6 | SC Freiburg W | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 10 |
| 7 | FC Koln W | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
| 8 | Stuttgart W | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 8 |
| 9 | RB Leipzig W | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 7 |
| 10 | Union Berlin W | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 6 |
| 11 | 1899 Hoffenheim W | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 6 |
| 12 | Hamburger SV W | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 5 |
| 13 | Nürnberg W | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 2 |
| 14 | Mainz 05 W | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 19 | -16 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.