Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 · Group 7 - 5
RC Alcobendas4–2Rayo Vallecano II
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 4 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 3 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 4–2
- 90-minute score
- 4–2
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
RC Alcobendas vs Rayo Vallecano II: match review and analysis
RC Alcobendas vs Rayo Vallecano II in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 on 4 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 4–2. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
RC Alcobendas recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses in the 3 games used here, scoring 7 and conceding 4. Rayo Vallecano II recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 8 losses, with 8 scored and 24 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | RC Alcobendas | Rayo Vallecano II |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 3 | 10 |
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 8 |
| Goals scored | 7 | 8 |
| Goals conceded | 4 | 24 |
| Over 1.5 games | 3 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
RC Alcobendas: (2.34 weighted goals scored + 2.42 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.38 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Rayo Vallecano II: (0.74 weighted goals scored + 1.34 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.04 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 3 GAMES
RC Alcobendas recent form
2.33 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game. 3 of 3 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real AranjuezTercera División RFEF - Group 7 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Pozuelo AlarcónTercera División RFEF - Group 7 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Parla EscuelaTercera División RFEF - Group 7 | Home | 5–2 | Won |
Scores shown from RC Alcobendas’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded. Only 3 usable previous results were available.
LAST 10 GAMES
Rayo Vallecano II recent form
0.80 goals scored and 2.40 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GalapagarTercera División RFEF - Group 7 | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Leganés IITercera División RFEF - Group 7 | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Cala PozueloTercera División RFEF - Group 7 | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| MóstolesTercera División RFEF - Group 7 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Rayo MajadahondaSegunda División RFEF - Group 5 | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| SocuéllamosSegunda División RFEF - Group 5 | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| RSD AlcaláSegunda División RFEF - Group 5 | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| IntercitySegunda División RFEF - Group 5 | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Elche IISegunda División RFEF - Group 5 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Getafe IISegunda División RFEF - Group 5 | Home | 0–4 | Lost |
Scores shown from Rayo Vallecano II’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
RC Alcobendas are ranked 6 in Tercera: Group 7, with 8 points from 5 games.
Rayo Vallecano II are ranked 18 in Tercera: Group 7, with 1 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colonia Moscardó | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 11 |
| 2 | Trival Valderas | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 11 |
| 3 | Móstoles | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 11 |
| 4 | Las Rozas | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 10 |
| 5 | Cala Pozuelo | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 9 |
| 6 | RC Alcobendas | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 8 |
| 7 | Galapagar | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 8 |
| 8 | Fuenlabrada | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 8 |
| 9 | Leganés II | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 7 |
| 10 | Torrejón | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 11 | Unión Adarve | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 6 |
| 12 | Pozuelo Alarcón | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 6 |
| 13 | Parla Escuela | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 | Alcobendas Sport | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| 15 | Real Aranjuez | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 | SS Reyes II | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 3 |
| 17 | Villanueva Pardillo | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 3 |
| 18 | Rayo Vallecano II | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.