Primera B · Clausura - 5
Real CundinamarcavsReal Santander
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 9 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Primera B
- Venue
- Estadio Municipal de Mosquera
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Real Cundinamarca vs Real Santander: match review and analysis
Real Cundinamarca vs Real Santander in Primera B on 9 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Real Cundinamarca recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 19 and conceding 10. Real Santander recorded 2 wins, 6 draws and 2 losses, with 12 scored and 13 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Real Cundinamarca | Real Santander |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 7 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 6 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 19 | 12 |
| Goals conceded | 10 | 13 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Real Cundinamarca: (2.01 weighted goals scored + 1.29 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.65 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Real Santander: (0.98 weighted goals scored + 1.00 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.99 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Real Cundinamarca recent form
1.90 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Depor FCPrimera B | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| BarranquillaPrimera B | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| QuindioPrimera B | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Union MagdalenaPrimera B | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Internacional de BogotaCopa Colombia | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Internacional PalmiraPrimera B | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| PatriotasPrimera B | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| OrsomarsoPrimera B | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Leones FCPrimera B | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| PopayanPrimera B | Home | 3–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Real Cundinamarca’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Real Santander recent form
1.20 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union MagdalenaPrimera B | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Tigres FCPrimera B | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| OrsomarsoPrimera B | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| PopayanPrimera B | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| QuindioPrimera B | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Internacional PalmiraPrimera B | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Ind. YumboPrimera B | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| BarranquillaPrimera B | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Depor FCPrimera B | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| PatriotasPrimera B | Home | 2–2 | Draw |
Scores shown from Real Santander’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Primera B — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Real Cundinamarca are ranked 9 in Primera B: Tabla Anual, with 36 points from 26 games.
Real Santander are ranked 16 in Primera B: Tabla Anual, with 19 points from 26 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Internacional Palmira | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 59 |
| 2 | Quindio | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 33 | 21 | 12 | 57 |
| 3 | Envigado | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 46 | 31 | 15 | 56 |
| 4 | Real Cartagena | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 53 | 39 | 14 | 55 |
| 5 | Union Magdalena | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 45 | 31 | 14 | 53 |
| 6 | Tigres FC | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 45 |
| 7 | Ind. Yumbo | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 42 |
| 8 | Bogota FC | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 38 |
| 9 | Real Cundinamarca | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 33 | 29 | 4 | 36 |
| 10 | Barranquilla | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 43 | -6 | 35 |
| 11 | Patriotas | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 34 |
| 12 | Popayan | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 31 |
| 13 | Orsomarso | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 27 |
| 14 | Depor FC | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 25 | 40 | -15 | 23 |
| 15 | Leones FC | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 41 | -25 | 20 |
| 16 | Real Santander | 26 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 22 | 41 | -19 | 19 |
Real Cundinamarca are ranked 13 in Primera B: Apertura, with 13 points from 15 games.
Real Santander are ranked 16 in Primera B: Apertura, with 7 points from 15 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Internacional Palmira | 15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 29 | 13 | 16 | 38 |
| 2 | Union Magdalena | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 32 |
| 3 | Quindio | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 31 |
| 4 | Envigado | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 14 | 10 | 29 |
| 5 | Real Cartagena | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 26 |
| 6 | Bogota FC | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 23 |
| 7 | Barranquilla | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 20 |
| 8 | Tigres FC | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 20 |
| 9 | Ind. Yumbo | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 19 |
| 10 | Orsomarso | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 17 |
| 11 | Patriotas | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 17 |
| 12 | Popayan | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 13 |
| 13 | Real Cundinamarca | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 13 |
| 14 | Leones FC | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 24 | -16 | 10 |
| 15 | Depor FC | 15 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 9 |
| 16 | Real Santander | 15 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 23 | -14 | 7 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Envigado | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 11 |
| 1 | Real Cartagena | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 13 |
| 2 | Quindio | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 10 |
| 2 | Union Magdalena | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 9 |
| 3 | Internacional Palmira | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7 |
| 3 | Barranquilla | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 6 |
| 4 | Tigres FC | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 4 |
| 4 | Bogota FC | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 3 |
Real Cundinamarca are ranked 1 in Primera B: Clausura, with 23 points from 11 games.
Real Santander are ranked 13 in Primera B: Clausura, with 12 points from 11 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Cundinamarca | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 23 |
| 2 | Ind. Yumbo | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 23 |
| 3 | Tigres FC | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 21 |
| 4 | Popayan | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 18 |
| 5 | Patriotas | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 17 |
| 6 | Quindio | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 16 |
| 7 | Real Cartagena | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 15 |
| 8 | Depor FC | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 14 |
| 9 | Internacional Palmira | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 14 |
| 10 | Envigado | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 12 |
| 11 | Union Magdalena | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 12 |
| 12 | Bogota FC | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 12 |
| 13 | Real Santander | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 12 |
| 14 | Orsomarso | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 10 |
| 15 | Leones FC | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 10 |
| 16 | Barranquilla | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 9 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.