Primera División RFEF - Group 2 · Group 2 - 7
Real JaénvsVillarreal II
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Primera División RFEF - Group 2
- Venue
- Nuevo Estadio de La Victoria
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Real Jaén vs Villarreal II: match review and analysis
Real Jaén vs Villarreal II in Primera División RFEF - Group 2 on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Real Jaén recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 12 and conceding 10. Villarreal II recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses, with 17 scored and 11 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Real Jaén | Villarreal II |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 6 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 12 | 17 |
| Goals conceded | 10 | 11 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Real Jaén: (1.21 weighted goals scored + 1.06 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.14 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Villarreal II: (1.85 weighted goals scored + 1.05 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.45 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Real Jaén recent form
1.20 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HérculesPrimera División RFEF - Group 2 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| AntequeraPrimera División RFEF - Group 2 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| IbizaPrimera División RFEF - Group 2 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| TeruelPrimera División RFEF - Group 2 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| HuescaPrimera División RFEF - Group 2 | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Europa FcPrimera División RFEF - Group 2 | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| CordobaFriendlies Clubs | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| CacereñoFriendlies Clubs | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Atlético BalearesSegunda División RFEF - Play-offs | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Atlético BalearesSegunda División RFEF - Play-offs | Home | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Real Jaén’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Villarreal II recent form
1.70 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IbizaPrimera División RFEF - Group 2 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Atlético Madrid IIPrimera División RFEF - Group 2 | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| AntequeraPrimera División RFEF - Group 2 | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| HuescaPrimera División RFEF - Group 2 | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| AlgecirasPrimera División RFEF - Group 2 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Rayo MajadahondaPrimera División RFEF - Group 2 | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| ZaragozaFriendlies Clubs | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| EldenseFriendlies Clubs | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| ZamoraPrimera División RFEF - Play Offs | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| ZamoraPrimera División RFEF - Play Offs | Home | 2–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Villarreal II’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Primera División RFEF - Group 2 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Villarreal II are ranked 2 in Segunda B: Group 2, with 13 points from 6 games.
Real Jaén are ranked 6 in Segunda B: Group 2, with 11 points from 6 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zaragoza | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 15 |
| 2 | Villarreal II | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 13 |
| 3 | Alcorcon | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 12 |
| 4 | Real Murcia | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 12 |
| 5 | FC Cartagena | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 11 |
| 6 | Real Jaén | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 11 |
| 7 | Ibiza | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 10 |
| 8 | Hércules | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 | Antequera | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
| 10 | Real Madrid II | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 9 |
| 11 | Huesca | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 9 |
| 12 | Atlético Madrid II | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 8 |
| 13 | Sant Andreu | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 8 |
| 14 | Gimnastic | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 7 |
| 15 | Algeciras | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 7 |
| 16 | Águilas | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 5 |
| 17 | Rayo Majadahonda | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 4 |
| 18 | Europa Fc | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 4 |
| 19 | Teruel | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12 | -10 | 2 |
| 20 | Juventud Torremolinos | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.