Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 · Group 5 - 3
Real Madrid III1–1Guadalajara
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 7 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayLost
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–1
- 90-minute score
- 1–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Real Madrid III vs Guadalajara: match review and analysis
Real Madrid III vs Guadalajara in Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 on 7 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Real Madrid III recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 5 and conceding 11. Guadalajara recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses, with 15 scored and 16 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Real Madrid III | Guadalajara |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 4 |
| Losses | 5 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 5 | 15 |
| Goals conceded | 11 | 16 |
| Over 1.5 games | 4 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Real Madrid III: (0.39 weighted goals scored + 1.63 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.01 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Guadalajara: (1.37 weighted goals scored + 1.04 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.20 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Real Madrid III recent form
0.50 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 4 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético PasoSegunda División RFEF - Group 5 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| A Madrid IIISegunda División RFEF - Group 5 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| CF TalaveraSegunda División RFEF - Group 5 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Albacete IISegunda División RFEF - Group 5 | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Gimnástica SegovianaFriendlies Clubs | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Atlético BalearesFriendlies Clubs | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Real Valladolid IIFriendlies Clubs | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| EsteponaSegunda División RFEF - Play-offs | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| EsteponaSegunda División RFEF - Play-offs | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| ConquenseSegunda División RFEF - Group 5 | Home | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Real Madrid III’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Guadalajara recent form
1.50 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gimnástica SegovianaSegunda División RFEF - Group 5 | Home | 3–3 | Draw | |
| NumanciaSegunda División RFEF - Group 5 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| RSD AlcaláSegunda División RFEF - Group 5 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Salamanca UDSSegunda División RFEF - Group 5 | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| MarchamaloFriendlies Clubs | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Real Madrid IIPrimera División RFEF - Group 1 | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Athletic Club IIPrimera División RFEF - Group 1 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| ArenteiroPrimera División RFEF - Group 1 | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Real AvilésPrimera División RFEF - Group 1 | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| CacereñoPrimera División RFEF - Group 1 | Away | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Guadalajara’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Guadalajara are ranked 12 in Segunda Rfef: Group 5, with 5 points from 5 games.
Real Madrid III are ranked 18 in Segunda Rfef: Group 5, with 3 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A Madrid III | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 12 |
| 2 | Numancia | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 11 |
| 3 | SS Reyes | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | Conquense | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
| 5 | Real Valladolid II | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 9 |
| 6 | Salamanca UDS | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 9 |
| 7 | CF Talavera | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 8 |
| 8 | Gimnástica Segoviana | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 7 |
| 9 | Navalcarnero | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 | RSD Alcalá | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 6 |
| 11 | Real Ávila | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 6 |
| 12 | Guadalajara | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 | Atlético Paso | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 | Albacete II | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 5 |
| 15 | Atlético Tordesillas | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 4 |
| 16 | Calvo Sotelo | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 4 |
| 17 | Getafe II | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 3 |
| 18 | Real Madrid III | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 3 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.