Primera División RFEF - Group 2 · Group 2 - 6
Real Murcia2–0Gimnastic
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 4 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Primera División RFEF - Group 2
- Venue
- Estadio Enrique Roca
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 2–0
- 90-minute score
- 2–0
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Real Murcia vs Gimnastic: match review and analysis
Real Murcia vs Gimnastic in Primera División RFEF - Group 2 on 4 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 2–0. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Real Murcia recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 18 and conceding 14. Gimnastic recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses, with 11 scored and 16 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Real Murcia | Gimnastic |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 4 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 18 | 11 |
| Goals conceded | 14 | 16 |
| Over 1.5 games | 10 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Real Murcia: (1.76 weighted goals scored + 1.70 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.73 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Gimnastic: (0.99 weighted goals scored + 1.44 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.22 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Real Murcia recent form
1.80 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NavalcarneroCopa Federacion | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Europa FcPrimera División RFEF - Group 2 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| OrihuelaCopa Federacion | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Atlético Madrid IIPrimera División RFEF - Group 2 | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| MensajeroCopa Federacion | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| TeruelPrimera División RFEF - Group 2 | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| HérculesPrimera División RFEF - Group 2 | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| AlbaceteFriendlies Clubs | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| CiezaFriendlies Clubs | Away | 4–1 | Won | |
| EldenseFriendlies Clubs | Home | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Real Murcia’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Gimnastic recent form
1.10 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sant AndreuPrimera División RFEF - Group 2 | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| AlcorconPrimera División RFEF - Group 2 | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| AlgecirasPrimera División RFEF - Group 2 | Home | 4–2 | Won | |
| FC CartagenaPrimera División RFEF - Group 2 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| ZaragozaPrimera División RFEF - Group 2 | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Espanyol IIFriendlies Clubs | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| HuescaFriendlies Clubs | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| GironaFriendlies Clubs | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| OlotFriendlies Clubs | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| FC AndorraFriendlies Clubs | Home | 0–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Gimnastic’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Primera División RFEF - Group 2 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Real Murcia are ranked 4 in Segunda B: Group 2, with 12 points from 6 games.
Gimnastic are ranked 14 in Segunda B: Group 2, with 7 points from 6 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zaragoza | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 15 |
| 2 | Villarreal II | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 13 |
| 3 | Alcorcon | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 12 |
| 4 | Real Murcia | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 12 |
| 5 | FC Cartagena | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 11 |
| 6 | Real Jaén | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 11 |
| 7 | Hércules | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 10 |
| 8 | Antequera | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
| 9 | Ibiza | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 | Huesca | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 | Atlético Madrid II | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 8 |
| 12 | Real Madrid II | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 8 |
| 13 | Sant Andreu | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 8 |
| 14 | Gimnastic | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 7 |
| 15 | Algeciras | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 7 |
| 16 | Águilas | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 5 |
| 17 | Rayo Majadahonda | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 4 |
| 18 | Europa Fc | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 4 |
| 19 | Teruel | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12 | -10 | 2 |
| 20 | Juventud Torremolinos | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.