Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 29
Real Salt LakevsSan Jose Earthquakes
RealScored · Match preview
Match prediction · 15 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Major League Soccer
- Venue
- Rio Tinto Stadium
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
Real Salt Lake vs San Jose Earthquakes: match review and analysis
Real Salt Lake vs San Jose Earthquakes in Major League Soccer on 15 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Real Salt Lake recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 8 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 8 and conceding 19. San Jose Earthquakes recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses, with 13 scored and 16 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Real Salt Lake | San Jose Earthquakes |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 4 |
| Losses | 8 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 8 | 13 |
| Goals conceded | 19 | 16 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Real Salt Lake: (0.96 weighted goals scored + 1.36 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.16 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
San Jose Earthquakes: (1.39 weighted goals scored + 1.79 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.59 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Real Salt Lake recent form
0.80 goals scored and 1.90 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia UnionMajor League Soccer | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Seattle SoundersMajor League Soccer | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Vancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| New York City FCMajor League Soccer | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Houston DynamoMajor League Soccer | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Colorado RapidsMajor League Soccer | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| LeonLeagues Cup | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Orlando City SCMajor League Soccer | Away | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Real Salt Lake’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
San Jose Earthquakes recent form
1.30 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado RapidsMajor League Soccer | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Portland TimbersMajor League Soccer | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Houston DynamoMajor League Soccer | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| San DiegoMajor League Soccer | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| AustinMajor League Soccer | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Houston DynamoMajor League Soccer | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Minnesota United FCMajor League Soccer | Home | 1–5 | Lost | |
| Los Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| St. Louis CityMajor League Soccer | Home | 1–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from San Jose Earthquakes’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Major League Soccer — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
San Jose Earthquakes are ranked 4 in Western Conference, with 46 points from 28 games.
Real Salt Lake are ranked 11 in Western Conference, with 32 points from 28 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 61 | 30 | 31 | 51 |
| 2 | St. Louis City | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 54 | 38 | 16 | 50 |
| 3 | FC Dallas | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 52 | 45 | 7 | 47 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 50 | 40 | 10 | 46 |
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 36 | 34 | 2 | 45 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 44 | 31 | 13 | 42 |
| 7 | Seattle Sounders | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 41 |
| 8 | Colorado Rapids | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 39 | 39 | 0 | 37 |
| 9 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 36 |
| 10 | Portland Timbers | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 51 | 54 | -3 | 33 |
| 11 | Real Salt Lake | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 32 |
| 12 | San Diego | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 48 | 51 | -3 | 32 |
| 13 | Austin | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 36 | 51 | -15 | 31 |
| 14 | Minnesota United FC | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 30 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 28 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 35 | 68 | -33 | 22 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 28 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 59 | 22 | 37 | 63 |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 28 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 68 | 50 | 18 | 49 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 51 | 40 | 11 | 48 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 28 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 45 | 39 | 6 | 46 |
| 5 | Charlotte | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 50 | 40 | 10 | 46 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 56 | 45 | 11 | 42 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 51 | 66 | -15 | 37 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 38 | 52 | -14 | 36 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 58 | 65 | -7 | 36 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 42 | 38 | 4 | 33 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 32 |
| 12 | DC United | 27 | 6 | 12 | 9 | 34 | 46 | -12 | 30 |
| 13 | Columbus Crew | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 29 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 33 | 48 | -15 | 27 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 24 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.