Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · Group 1 - 6
Real Unión1–1UD Ourense
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Primera División RFEF - Group 1
- Venue
- Stadium Gal
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–1
- 90-minute score
- 1–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Real Unión vs UD Ourense: match review and analysis
Real Unión vs UD Ourense in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Real Unión recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 21 and conceding 18. UD Ourense recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses, with 7 scored and 11 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Real Unión | UD Ourense |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 21 | 7 |
| Goals conceded | 18 | 11 |
| Over 1.5 games | 10 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Real Unión: (2.09 weighted goals scored + 1.30 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.69 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
UD Ourense: (0.64 weighted goals scored + 1.75 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.19 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Real Unión recent form
2.10 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo La Coruña IIPrimera División RFEF - Group 1 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| MirandesPrimera División RFEF - Group 1 | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Racing FerrolPrimera División RFEF - Group 1 | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Unionistas de SalamancaPrimera División RFEF - Group 1 | Away | 4–2 | Won | |
| CD CoriaPrimera División RFEF - Group 1 | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| EibarFriendlies Clubs | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| PAUFriendlies Clubs | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| AlfaroSegunda División RFEF - Group 2 | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Real Zaragoza IISegunda División RFEF - Group 2 | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| AmorebietaSegunda División RFEF - Group 2 | Home | 3–3 | Draw |
Scores shown from Real Unión’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
UD Ourense recent form
0.70 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CacereñoPrimera División RFEF - Group 1 | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Unionistas de SalamancaPrimera División RFEF - Group 1 | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| UD LogroñésPrimera División RFEF - Group 1 | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| MirandesPrimera División RFEF - Group 1 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| PonferradinaPrimera División RFEF - Group 1 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| ConquenseSegunda División RFEF - Play-offs | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| ConquenseSegunda División RFEF - Play-offs | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| ReddisSegunda División RFEF - Play-offs | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| ReddisSegunda División RFEF - Play-offs | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Atlético AstorgaSegunda División RFEF - Group 1 | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from UD Ourense’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Primera División RFEF - Group 1 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Real Unión are ranked 9 in Segunda B: Group 1, with 8 points from 6 games.
UD Ourense are ranked 19 in Segunda B: Group 1, with 2 points from 6 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UD Logroñés | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 16 |
| 2 | Lugo | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 16 |
| 3 | Athletic Club II | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 11 |
| 4 | Cacereño | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 11 |
| 5 | Ponferradina | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 11 |
| 6 | Mirandes | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 10 |
| 7 | Zamora | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
| 8 | Racing Ferrol | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 10 |
| 9 | Real Unión | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 8 |
| 10 | Deportivo La Coruña II | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 8 |
| 11 | Pontevedra | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 | Cultural Leonesa | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 8 |
| 13 | Extremadura 1924 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 6 |
| 14 | Mérida AD | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 | Unionistas de Salamanca | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 6 |
| 16 | Barakaldo | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Real Avilés | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 5 |
| 18 | CD Coria | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 5 |
| 19 | UD Ourense | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10 | -8 | 2 |
| 20 | Arenas Getxo | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 14 | -10 | 2 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.