Primera B · Regular Season - 27
RecoletavsMagallanes
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Primera B
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Recoleta vs Magallanes: match review and analysis
Recoleta vs Magallanes in Primera B on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Recoleta recorded 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 14 and conceding 10. Magallanes recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses, with 18 scored and 12 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Recoleta | Magallanes |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 6 |
| Draws | 4 | 3 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
| Goals scored | 14 | 18 |
| Goals conceded | 10 | 12 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Recoleta: (1.52 weighted goals scored + 1.09 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.30 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Magallanes: (1.64 weighted goals scored + 1.06 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.35 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Recoleta recent form
1.40 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santiago WanderersPrimera B | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Deportes Santa CruzPrimera B | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| San Marcos de AricaPrimera B | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| AntofagastaPrimera B | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Curico UnidoPrimera B | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| O'HigginsCopa Chile | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Deportes CopiapoPrimera B | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Deportes TemucoPrimera B | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Rangers de TalcaPrimera B | Home | 4–2 | Won | |
| Union San FelipePrimera B | Away | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Recoleta’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Magallanes recent form
1.80 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Curico UnidoPrimera B | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| D. Puerto MonttPrimera B | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Deportes CopiapoPrimera B | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Union San FelipePrimera B | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Santiago WanderersPrimera B | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Deportes Santa CruzPrimera B | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Rangers de TalcaPrimera B | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| CobreloaPrimera B | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Deportes TemucoPrimera B | Away | 4–3 | Won | |
| Union EspanolaPrimera B | Home | 3–2 | Won |
Scores shown from Magallanes’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Primera B — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Magallanes are ranked 4 in Primera B, with 43 points from 26 games.
Recoleta are ranked 6 in Primera B, with 41 points from 26 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cobreloa | 26 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 44 | 27 | 17 | 48 |
| 2 | San Luis | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 41 | 29 | 12 | 47 |
| 3 | Santiago Wanderers | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 41 | 28 | 13 | 44 |
| 4 | Magallanes | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 42 | 38 | 4 | 43 |
| 5 | Antofagasta | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 44 | 26 | 18 | 41 |
| 6 | Recoleta | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 38 | 34 | 4 | 41 |
| 7 | San Marcos de Arica | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 39 |
| 8 | Deportes Copiapo | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 37 |
| 9 | Union Espanola | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 36 |
| 10 | D. Puerto Montt | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 34 |
| 11 | Deportes Temuco | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 32 |
| 12 | Deportes Iquique | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 31 |
| 13 | Curico Unido | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 22 | 39 | -17 | 27 |
| 14 | Deportes Santa Cruz | 26 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 22 |
| 15 | Union San Felipe | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 16 | 44 | -28 | 22 |
| 16 | Rangers de Talca | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 23 | 42 | -19 | 18 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.