Non League Premier - Northern · Regular Season - 11
Redcar Athletic3–1Alfreton Town
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Non League Premier - Northern
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 3–1
- 90-minute score
- 3–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Redcar Athletic vs Alfreton Town: match review and analysis
Redcar Athletic vs Alfreton Town in Non League Premier - Northern on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 3–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Redcar Athletic recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 20 and conceding 8. Alfreton Town recorded 5 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses, with 16 scored and 11 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Redcar Athletic | Alfreton Town |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 7 | 5 |
| Draws | 2 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 20 | 16 |
| Goals conceded | 8 | 11 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Redcar Athletic: (1.79 weighted goals scored + 1.10 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.44 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Alfreton Town: (1.46 weighted goals scored + 0.93 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.19 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Redcar Athletic recent form
2.00 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guisborough TownFA Trophy | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Cleethorpes TownNon League Premier - Northern | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| MacclesfieldFA Cup | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Leek TownNon League Premier - Northern | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| Stocksbridge Park SteelsFA Cup | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Stockton TownNon League Premier - Northern | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| United of ManchesterNon League Premier - Northern | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| AFC EmleyNon League Premier - Northern | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| RylandsNon League Premier - Northern | Away | 5–0 | Won | |
| Lancaster CityNon League Premier - Northern | Home | 3–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Redcar Athletic’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Alfreton Town recent form
1.60 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guiseley AFCNon League Premier - Northern | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Shifnal Town FCFA Trophy | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Bamber BridgeNon League Premier - Northern | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Stratford TownFA Cup | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Whitby TownNon League Premier - Northern | Away | 4–1 | Won | |
| RylandsNon League Premier - Northern | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Hyde UnitedNon League Premier - Northern | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| Stockton TownNon League Premier - Northern | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Cleethorpes TownNon League Premier - Northern | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| AvroNon League Premier - Northern | Home | 3–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Alfreton Town’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Non League Premier - Northern — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Redcar Athletic are ranked 3 in Regular Season, with 25 points from 12 games.
Alfreton Town are ranked 8 in Regular Season, with 18 points from 12 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cleethorpes Town | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 27 | 7 | 20 | 27 |
| 2 | Avro | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 33 | 19 | 14 | 25 |
| 3 | Redcar Athletic | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 25 |
| 4 | Guiseley AFC | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
| 5 | Workington | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 21 |
| 6 | Rylands | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 20 |
| 7 | Curzon Ashton | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 19 |
| 8 | Alfreton Town | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 18 |
| 9 | Warrington Town | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 18 |
| 10 | Bury | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 16 |
| 11 | Gainsborough Trinity | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 16 |
| 12 | Lancaster City | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 16 |
| 13 | Hyde United | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 14 |
| 14 | Ashton United | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 12 |
| 15 | Whitby Town | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 12 |
| 16 | Stockton Town | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 11 |
| 17 | Leek Town | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 10 |
| 18 | Quorn | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 10 |
| 19 | AFC Emley | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 22 | -12 | 10 |
| 20 | Bamber Bridge | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 31 | -15 | 9 |
| 21 | Ilkeston Town | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 26 | -19 | 7 |
| 22 | United of Manchester | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 20 | -8 | 5 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.