1. Liga · Regular Season - 22
Rīgas FS IIvsMārupe
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- 1. Liga
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Rīgas FS II vs Mārupe: match review and analysis
Rīgas FS II vs Mārupe in 1. Liga on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Rīgas FS II recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 7 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 20 and conceding 37. Mārupe recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 losses, with 12 scored and 18 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Rīgas FS II | Mārupe |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 7 | 6 |
| Goals scored | 20 | 12 |
| Goals conceded | 37 | 18 |
| Over 1.5 games | 10 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Rīgas FS II: (2.25 weighted goals scored + 1.80 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.02 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Mārupe: (1.35 weighted goals scored + 3.65 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.50 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Rīgas FS II recent form
2.00 goals scored and 3.70 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leevon / PPK1. Liga | Away | 3–6 | Lost | |
| Skanste1. Liga | Home | 3–4 | Lost | |
| JFK Ventspils1. Liga | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| Riga Mariners1. Liga | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| JDFS Alberts1. Liga | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Metta / LU1. Liga | Away | 1–12 | Lost | |
| Valmiera / BSS1. Liga | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Smiltene1. Liga | Away | 5–3 | Won | |
| Tukums II1. Liga | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Super Nova 21. Liga | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Rīgas FS II’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Mārupe recent form
1.20 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riga FC II1. Liga | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Tukums II1. Liga | Home | 5–0 | Won | |
| JDFS Alberts1. Liga | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Valmiera / BSS1. Liga | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Super Nova 21. Liga | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Leevon / PPK1. Liga | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Skanste1. Liga | Away | 2–4 | Lost | |
| Rēzekne FA1. Liga | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Metta / LU1. Liga | Home | 0–4 | Lost | |
| GrobiņaCup | Home | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Mārupe’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
1. Liga — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Mārupe are ranked 6 in 1. Liga, with 29 points from 21 games.
Rīgas FS II are ranked 13 in 1. Liga, with 15 points from 21 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Metta / LU | 21 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 89 | 17 | 72 | 54 |
| 2 | Valmiera / BSS | 21 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 60 | 23 | 37 | 51 |
| 3 | Leevon / PPK | 21 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 43 | 25 | 18 | 49 |
| 4 | Riga Mariners | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 50 | 23 | 27 | 47 |
| 5 | JDFS Alberts | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 42 | 31 | 11 | 37 |
| 6 | Mārupe | 21 | 9 | 2 | 10 | 34 | 32 | 2 | 29 |
| 7 | Skanste | 21 | 8 | 2 | 11 | 43 | 42 | 1 | 26 |
| 8 | Riga FC II | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 29 | 37 | -8 | 26 |
| 9 | Super Nova 2 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 28 | 32 | -4 | 25 |
| 10 | Tukums II | 21 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 27 | 60 | -33 | 18 |
| 11 | Smiltene | 21 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 29 | 57 | -28 | 16 |
| 12 | JFK Ventspils | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 15 |
| 13 | Rīgas FS II | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 34 | 62 | -28 | 15 |
| 14 | Rēzekne FA | 21 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 17 | 64 | -47 | 6 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.