J3 League · Regular Season - 10
Roasso KumamotovsEhime FC
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- J3 League
- Venue
- Egao Kenko Stadium
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Roasso Kumamoto vs Ehime FC: match review and analysis
Roasso Kumamoto vs Ehime FC in J3 League on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Roasso Kumamoto recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 10 and conceding 6. Ehime FC recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, with 17 scored and 14 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Roasso Kumamoto | Ehime FC |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 5 |
| Draws | 4 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 10 | 17 |
| Goals conceded | 6 | 14 |
| Over 1.5 games | 5 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Roasso Kumamoto: (0.84 weighted goals scored + 1.39 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.12 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Ehime FC: (1.61 weighted goals scored + 0.59 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.10 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Roasso Kumamoto recent form
1.00 goals scored and 0.60 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biwako ShigaJ3 League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Kawasaki FrontaleJ-League Cup | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Thespakusatsu GunmaJ3 League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Matsumoto YamagaJ3 League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Fukushima UnitedJ3 League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Nara ClubJ3 League | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Oita TrinitaJ-League Cup | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Kochi UnitedJ3 League | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Parceiro NaganoJ3 League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Gainare TottoriEmperor Cup | Away | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Roasso Kumamoto’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Ehime FC recent form
1.70 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thespakusatsu GunmaJ3 League | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| FC TokyoJ-League Cup | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| FC RyukyuJ3 League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Kamatamare SanukiJ3 League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| OsakaJ3 League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| KitakyushuJ3 League | Home | 4–2 | Won | |
| Blaublitz AkitaJ-League Cup | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| KanazawaJ3 League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| V-varen NagasakiEmperor Cup | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Matsumoto YamagaJ3 League | Away | 2–2 | Draw |
Scores shown from Ehime FC’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
J3 League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Ehime FC are ranked 2 in J3 League, with 20 points from 9 games.
Roasso Kumamoto are ranked 8 in J3 League, with 14 points from 9 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kagoshima United | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 23 |
| 2 | Ehime FC | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 10 | 12 | 20 |
| 3 | Sagamihara | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 18 |
| 4 | Osaka | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 17 |
| 5 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 17 |
| 6 | Nara Club | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 17 |
| 7 | Kanazawa | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 14 |
| 8 | Roasso Kumamoto | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 14 |
| 9 | FC Gifu | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 13 |
| 10 | Biwako Shiga | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 13 |
| 11 | Gainare Tottori | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 13 |
| 12 | Parceiro Nagano | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 11 |
| 13 | FC Ryukyu | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 11 |
| 14 | Tochigi SC | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 10 |
| 15 | Kitakyushu | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 10 |
| 16 | Matsumoto Yamaga | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 8 |
| 17 | Fukushima United | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 7 |
| 18 | Thespakusatsu Gunma | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 18 | -10 | 6 |
| 19 | Kamatamare Sanuki | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 20 | -8 | 5 |
| 20 | Kochi United | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 20 | -17 | 5 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.