Second League A - Division A Gold · Fall Season Gold - 12
Rodina Moskva II3–0Kaluga
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 4 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Second League A - Division A Gold
- Venue
- Spartakovets imeni N.P. Starostina
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 3–0
- 90-minute score
- 3–0
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Rodina Moskva II vs Kaluga: match review and analysis
Rodina Moskva II vs Kaluga in Second League A - Division A Gold on 4 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 3–0. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Rodina Moskva II recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 18 and conceding 9. Kaluga recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses, with 13 scored and 11 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Rodina Moskva II | Kaluga |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 6 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 4 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 18 | 13 |
| Goals conceded | 9 | 11 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Rodina Moskva II: (1.91 weighted goals scored + 1.33 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.62 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Kaluga: (1.07 weighted goals scored + 1.11 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.09 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Rodina Moskva II recent form
1.80 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NovosibirskSecond League A - Division A Gold | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Dinamo VladivostokSecond League A - Division A Gold | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Mashuk-KMVSecond League A - Division A Gold | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Dinamo KirovSecond League A - Division A Gold | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| FK Sokol SaratovSecond League A - Division A Gold | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| Volgar AstrakhanSecond League A - Division A Gold | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Dinamo BryanskSecond League A - Division A Gold | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| KalugaSecond League A - Division A Gold | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| NovosibirskSecond League A - Division A Gold | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Dinamo VladivostokSecond League A - Division A Gold | Home | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Rodina Moskva II’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Kaluga recent form
1.30 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo KirovSecond League A - Division A Gold | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| NovosibirskSecond League A - Division A Gold | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Dinamo VladivostokSecond League A - Division A Gold | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| FC UFACup | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Volgar AstrakhanSecond League A - Division A Gold | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Alaniya VladikavkazSecond League A - Division A Gold | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Avangard KurskCup | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Dinamo BryanskSecond League A - Division A Gold | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Mashuk-KMVSecond League A - Division A Gold | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Iskra SmolenskCup | Home | 5–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Kaluga’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Second League A - Division A Gold — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Rodina Moskva II are ranked 1 in FNL 2 Division A: Division A Gold, with 26 points from 12 games.
Kaluga are ranked 10 in FNL 2 Division A: Division A Gold, with 6 points from 12 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rodina Moskva II | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 10 | 13 | 26 |
| 2 | Dinamo Kirov | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 24 |
| 3 | Novosibirsk | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 18 |
| 4 | Dinamo Bryansk | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
| 5 | Alaniya Vladikavkaz | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 15 |
| 6 | Dinamo Vladivostok | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 14 |
| 7 | Mashuk-KMV | 12 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 14 |
| 8 | Volgar Astrakhan | 12 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 12 |
| 9 | FK Sokol Saratov | 12 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 9 |
| 10 | Kaluga | 12 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 6 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.