Cup · Group Stage - 4
Rodina MoskvavsSpartak Moscow
RealScored · Match preview
Match prediction · 15 October 2026
This match has finished. Go back home for the latest fixtures →
THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Cup
- Venue
- Yantar Stadium
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
Rodina Moskva vs Spartak Moscow: match review and analysis
Rodina Moskva vs Spartak Moscow in Cup on 15 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Rodina Moskva recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 8 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 10 and conceding 26. Spartak Moscow recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, with 16 scored and 9 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Rodina Moskva | Spartak Moscow |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 1 | 5 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 8 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 10 | 16 |
| Goals conceded | 26 | 9 |
| Over 1.5 games | 10 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Rodina Moskva: (1.03 weighted goals scored + 0.90 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.97 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Spartak Moscow: (1.52 weighted goals scored + 2.50 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.01 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Rodina Moskva recent form
1.00 goals scored and 2.60 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CSKA MoscowPremier League | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| DynamoFriendlies Clubs | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| FK PartizanFriendlies Clubs | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| RubinPremier League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Krylia SovetovPremier League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Dinamo MakhachkalaPremier League | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Spartak MoscowCup | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| BaltikaPremier League | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| DynamoPremier League | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| FC OrenburgCup | Home | 1–4 | Lost |
Scores shown from Rodina Moskva’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Spartak Moscow recent form
1.60 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Krylia SovetovPremier League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| FakelPremier League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| FC RostovPremier League | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| DynamoPremier League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Rodina MoskvaCup | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| FC OrenburgPremier League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| ZenitPremier League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| RubinCup | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| BaltikaPremier League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| FC KrasnodarPremier League | Home | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Spartak Moscow’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Cup — current table
No league table is currently available for this competition and season. Some cup rounds and friendlies do not have standings.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.