3. Liga · Regular Season - 9
Rot-Weiß EssenvsFortuna Köln
RealScored · Match preview
Match prediction · 13 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- 3. Liga
- Venue
- Stadion Essen
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
Rot-Weiß Essen vs Fortuna Köln: match review and analysis
Rot-Weiß Essen vs Fortuna Köln in 3. Liga on 13 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Rot-Weiß Essen recorded 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 20 and conceding 14. Fortuna Köln recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses, with 12 scored and 8 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Rot-Weiß Essen | Fortuna Köln |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 4 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 20 | 12 |
| Goals conceded | 14 | 8 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Rot-Weiß Essen: (2.14 weighted goals scored + 0.91 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.52 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Fortuna Köln: (1.29 weighted goals scored + 1.33 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.31 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Rot-Weiß Essen recent form
2.00 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Preußen Münster3. Liga | Away | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Arminia BielefeldFriendlies Clubs | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Hansa Rostock3. Liga | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Waldhof Mannheim3. Liga | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Würzburger Kickers3. Liga | Home | 6–2 | Won | |
| FC Viktoria Köln3. Liga | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| SV Wehen3. Liga | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| FC St. PauliDFB Pokal | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Havelse3. Liga | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| FC Saarbrücken3. Liga | Away | 2–5 | Lost |
Scores shown from Rot-Weiß Essen’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Fortuna Köln recent form
1.20 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Saarbrücken3. Liga | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Havelse3. Liga | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| SV Wehen3. Liga | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Hoffenheim II3. Liga | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Fortuna Düsseldorf3. Liga | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Verl3. Liga | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Alemannia Aachen3. Liga | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach3. Liga | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Kickers OffenbachFriendlies Clubs | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| VVV VenloFriendlies Clubs | Away | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Fortuna Köln’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
3. Liga — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Rot-Weiß Essen are ranked 3 in 3 Liga, with 15 points from 8 games.
Fortuna Köln are ranked 12 in 3 Liga, with 10 points from 8 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MSV Duisburg | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 21 |
| 2 | FC Viktoria Köln | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 18 |
| 3 | Rot-Weiß Essen | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 15 |
| 4 | Hansa Rostock | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 15 |
| 5 | FC Saarbrücken | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 14 |
| 6 | Waldhof Mannheim | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 13 |
| 7 | Hoffenheim II | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 13 |
| 8 | Preußen Münster | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 12 |
| 9 | Alemannia Aachen | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 | Fortuna Düsseldorf | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 11 |
| 11 | Verl | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 11 |
| 12 | Fortuna Köln | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 10 |
| 13 | SSV Jahn Regensburg | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 8 |
| 14 | Stuttgart II | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 8 |
| 15 | FC Ingolstadt 04 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 8 |
| 16 | SV Wehen | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 8 |
| 17 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 8 |
| 18 | Würzburger Kickers | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 7 |
| 19 | SV Meppen | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 7 |
| 20 | Havelse | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 4 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.