Non League Premier - Northern · Regular Season - 11
Rylands4–1AFC Emley
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Non League Premier - Northern
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 4–1
- 90-minute score
- 4–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Rylands vs AFC Emley: match review and analysis
Rylands vs AFC Emley in Non League Premier - Northern on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 4–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Rylands recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 16 and conceding 14. AFC Emley recorded 0 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses, with 5 scored and 24 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Rylands | AFC Emley |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 6 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 5 |
| Losses | 3 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 16 | 5 |
| Goals conceded | 14 | 24 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Rylands: (1.64 weighted goals scored + 2.70 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.17 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
AFC Emley: (0.42 weighted goals scored + 1.22 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.82 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Rylands recent form
1.60 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilkeston TownNon League Premier - Northern | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Stockton TownFA Trophy | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| ChorleyFA Cup | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Stockton TownNon League Premier - Northern | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Hyde UnitedFA Cup | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Bamber BridgeNon League Premier - Northern | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Alfreton TownNon League Premier - Northern | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| WorkingtonNon League Premier - Northern | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Redcar AthleticNon League Premier - Northern | Home | 0–5 | Lost | |
| QuornNon League Premier - Northern | Home | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Rylands’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
AFC Emley recent form
0.50 goals scored and 2.40 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WorkingtonNon League Premier - Northern | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| BootleFA Trophy | Away | 0–5 | Lost | |
| Spennymoor TownFA Cup | Home | 0–4 | Lost | |
| BuryNon League Premier - Northern | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Bishop AucklandFA Cup | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Bishop AucklandFA Cup | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Guiseley AFCNon League Premier - Northern | Home | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Warrington TownNon League Premier - Northern | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Redcar AthleticNon League Premier - Northern | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Ashton UnitedNon League Premier - Northern | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from AFC Emley’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Non League Premier - Northern — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Rylands are ranked 6 in Regular Season, with 20 points from 12 games.
AFC Emley are ranked 19 in Regular Season, with 10 points from 11 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cleethorpes Town | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 27 | 7 | 20 | 27 |
| 2 | Avro | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 33 | 19 | 14 | 25 |
| 3 | Redcar Athletic | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 25 |
| 4 | Guiseley AFC | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
| 5 | Workington | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 21 |
| 6 | Rylands | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 20 |
| 7 | Curzon Ashton | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 19 |
| 8 | Alfreton Town | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 18 |
| 9 | Warrington Town | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 18 |
| 10 | Bury | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 16 |
| 11 | Gainsborough Trinity | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 16 |
| 12 | Lancaster City | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 16 |
| 13 | Hyde United | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 14 |
| 14 | Ashton United | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 12 |
| 15 | Whitby Town | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 12 |
| 16 | Stockton Town | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 11 |
| 17 | Leek Town | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 10 |
| 18 | Quorn | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 10 |
| 19 | AFC Emley | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 22 | -12 | 10 |
| 20 | Bamber Bridge | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 31 | -15 | 9 |
| 21 | Ilkeston Town | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 26 | -19 | 7 |
| 22 | United of Manchester | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 20 | -8 | 5 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.