National League · Regular Season - 3
Sagaing UnitedvsGFA
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 9 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- National League
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Sagaing United vs GFA: match review and analysis
Sagaing United vs GFA in National League on 9 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Sagaing United recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 16 and conceding 17. GFA recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 8 losses, with 10 scored and 31 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Sagaing United | GFA |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 8 |
| Goals scored | 16 | 10 |
| Goals conceded | 17 | 31 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Sagaing United: (1.56 weighted goals scored + 3.22 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.39 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
GFA: (1.00 weighted goals scored + 1.69 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.35 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Sagaing United recent form
1.60 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| I.S.P.ENational League | Away | 4–2 | Won | |
| Yangon UnitedNational League | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Ayeyawady UnitedNational League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Shan UnitedNational League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| DagonNational League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Yangon UnitedNational League | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Hantharwady UnitedNational League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Rakhine UnitedNational League | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Thitsar ArmanNational League | Home | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Yarmanya UnitedNational League | Away | 4–2 | Won |
Scores shown from Sagaing United’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
GFA recent form
1.00 goals scored and 3.10 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yangon UnitedNational League | Home | 1–5 | Lost | |
| YadanarbonNational League | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Sagaing UnitedNational League | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| MyawadyNational League | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| DagonNational League | Home | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Rakhine UnitedNational League | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Ayeyawady UnitedNational League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Kachin UnitedNational League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Shan UnitedNational League | Home | 1–6 | Lost | |
| Hantharwady UnitedNational League | Home | 1–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from GFA’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
National League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Sagaing United are ranked 5 in National League, with 3 points from 2 games.
GFA are ranked 12 in National League, with 0 points from 2 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dagon | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 6 |
| 2 | Yangon United | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 6 |
| 3 | Shan United | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
| 4 | Yadanarbon | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Sagaing United | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Ayeyawady United | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 3 |
| 7 | Thitsar Arman | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 |
| 8 | Yangon Royals | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 9 | Hantharwady United | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 1 |
| 10 | Myawady | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 1 |
| 11 | I.S.P.E | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 0 |
| 12 | GFA | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.