Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 · Group 5 - 6
San Juan Atletico de MontcadavsAtlètic Lleida
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 4 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Tercera División RFEF - Group 5
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
San Juan Atletico de Montcada vs Atlètic Lleida: match review and analysis
San Juan Atletico de Montcada vs Atlètic Lleida in Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
San Juan Atletico de Montcada recorded 2 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses in the 4 games used here, scoring 5 and conceding 7. Atlètic Lleida recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses, with 8 scored and 18 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | San Juan Atletico de Montcada | Atlètic Lleida |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 4 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 6 |
| Goals scored | 5 | 8 |
| Goals conceded | 7 | 18 |
| Over 1.5 games | 4 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
San Juan Atletico de Montcada: (1.46 weighted goals scored + 1.82 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.64 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Atlètic Lleida: (0.71 weighted goals scored + 1.54 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.13 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 4 GAMES
San Juan Atletico de Montcada recent form
1.25 goals scored and 1.75 conceded per game. 4 of 4 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TonaTercera División RFEF - Group 5 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| San CristóbalTercera División RFEF - Group 5 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Vilassar MarTercera División RFEF - Group 5 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| MontañesaTercera División RFEF - Group 5 | Away | 0–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from San Juan Atletico de Montcada’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded. Only 4 usable previous results were available.
LAST 10 GAMES
Atlètic Lleida recent form
0.80 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pobla MafumetTercera División RFEF - Group 5 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| PeraladaTercera División RFEF - Group 5 | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| MollerussaTercera División RFEF - Group 5 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| L'HospitaletTercera División RFEF - Group 5 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| CornellàTercera División RFEF - Group 5 | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| ManresaFriendlies Clubs | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| ReddisFriendlies Clubs | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| BarbastroFriendlies Clubs | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| AndratxSegunda División RFEF - Group 3 | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Barcelona BSegunda División RFEF - Group 3 | Away | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Atlètic Lleida’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
San Juan Atletico de Montcada are ranked 10 in Tercera: Group 5, with 6 points from 4 games.
Atlètic Lleida are ranked 14 in Tercera: Group 5, with 5 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Badalona | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 9 |
| 2 | Montañesa | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 9 |
| 3 | Europa II | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 8 |
| 4 | Vilanova | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 8 |
| 5 | Grama | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 6 | Pobla Mafumet | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 7 |
| 7 | L'Hospitalet | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 8 | Cornellà | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 9 | L'Escala | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 10 | San Juan Atletico de Montcada | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 6 |
| 11 | Peralada | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 12 | Martinenc | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 5 |
| 13 | Cerdanyola del Vallès | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 | Atlètic Lleida | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 5 |
| 15 | Mollerussa | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 16 | San Cristóbal | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 4 |
| 17 | Tona | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 3 |
| 18 | Vilassar Mar | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 13 | -10 | 3 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.