Liga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 12
San LorenzovsDeportivo Riestra
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Liga Profesional Argentina
- Venue
- Estadio Pedro Bidegain
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Riestra: match review and analysis
San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Riestra in Liga Profesional Argentina on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
San Lorenzo recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 4 and conceding 10. Deportivo Riestra recorded 1 wins, 7 draws and 2 losses, with 7 scored and 10 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | San Lorenzo | Deportivo Riestra |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 7 |
| Losses | 5 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 4 | 7 |
| Goals conceded | 10 | 10 |
| Over 1.5 games | 4 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
San Lorenzo: (0.41 weighted goals scored + 0.97 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.69 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Deportivo Riestra: (0.59 weighted goals scored + 1.13 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.86 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
San Lorenzo recent form
0.40 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 4 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Defensa Y JusticiaLiga Profesional Argentina | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Boca JuniorsLiga Profesional Argentina | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| IndependienteLiga Profesional Argentina | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Talleres CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Instituto CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Estudiantes de Rio CuartoLiga Profesional Argentina | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Union Santa FeLiga Profesional Argentina | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| HuracanLiga Profesional Argentina | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Central Cordoba de SantiagoLiga Profesional Argentina | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Gimnasia M.Liga Profesional Argentina | Home | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from San Lorenzo’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Deportivo Riestra recent form
0.70 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Central Cordoba de SantiagoLiga Profesional Argentina | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Gimnasia M.Liga Profesional Argentina | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| LanusLiga Profesional Argentina | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| BanfieldCopa Argentina | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| PlatenseLiga Profesional Argentina | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Velez SarsfieldLiga Profesional Argentina | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| HuracanLiga Profesional Argentina | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Gimnasia L.P.Copa Argentina | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Newells Old BoysLiga Profesional Argentina | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Estudiantes L.P.Liga Profesional Argentina | Home | 2–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Deportivo Riestra’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Liga Profesional Argentina — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
San Lorenzo are ranked 7 in Apertura - Group A, with 22 points from 16 games.
Deportivo Riestra are ranked 15 in Apertura - Group A, with 11 points from 16 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 30 |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 28 |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 26 |
| 5 | Independiente | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 24 |
| 6 | Lanus | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 24 |
| 7 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 22 |
| 8 | Union Santa Fe | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 21 |
| 9 | Instituto Cordoba | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
| 10 | Defensa Y Justicia | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 19 |
| 11 | Gimnasia M. | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 19 |
| 12 | Platense | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 16 |
| 13 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 16 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 15 |
| 15 | Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 11 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independ. Rivadavia | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 34 |
| 2 | River Plate | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 29 |
| 3 | Argentinos JRS | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 29 |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 28 |
| 5 | Belgrano Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 26 |
| 6 | Gimnasia L.P. | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 26 |
| 7 | Huracan | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 22 |
| 8 | Racing Club | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 21 |
| 9 | Barracas Central | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 21 |
| 10 | Tigre | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 20 |
| 11 | Sarmiento Junin | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 19 |
| 12 | Banfield | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 18 |
| 13 | Atletico Tucuman | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 14 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 16 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 8 |
| 15 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 24 | -19 | 5 |
Deportivo Riestra are ranked 11 in Clausura - Group A, with 11 points from 11 games.
San Lorenzo are ranked 12 in Clausura - Group A, with 11 points from 11 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Instituto Cordoba | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 26 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 21 |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 11 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 21 |
| 4 | Defensa Y Justicia | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 21 |
| 5 | Lanus | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 17 |
| 6 | Newells Old Boys | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 17 |
| 7 | Gimnasia M. | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 17 |
| 8 | Independiente | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 17 |
| 9 | Estudiantes L.P. | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 13 |
| 10 | Union Santa Fe | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 13 |
| 11 | Deportivo Riestra | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 11 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 11 |
| 13 | Platense | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 10 |
| 14 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 9 |
| 15 | Talleres Cordoba | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 8 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentinos JRS | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 21 |
| 2 | Belgrano Cordoba | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 19 |
| 3 | Sarmiento Junin | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 19 |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 19 |
| 5 | Huracan | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 19 |
| 6 | Gimnasia L.P. | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 19 |
| 7 | Independ. Rivadavia | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 18 |
| 8 | Barracas Central | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 15 |
| 9 | Atletico Tucuman | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 14 |
| 10 | River Plate | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 13 |
| 11 | Tigre | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 12 |
| 12 | Racing Club | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 11 |
| 13 | Banfield | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 10 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 8 |
| 15 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 6 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.