Primera B Metropolitana · Regular Season - 38
San Martín Burzaco2–1Argentino de Merlo
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Primera B Metropolitana
- Venue
- Francisco Boga Stadium
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 2–1
- 90-minute score
- 2–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
San Martín Burzaco vs Argentino de Merlo: match review and analysis
San Martín Burzaco vs Argentino de Merlo in Primera B Metropolitana on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 2–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
San Martín Burzaco recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 11 and conceding 15. Argentino de Merlo recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses, with 6 scored and 12 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | San Martín Burzaco | Argentino de Merlo |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 4 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 11 | 6 |
| Goals conceded | 15 | 12 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
San Martín Burzaco: (1.24 weighted goals scored + 1.20 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.22 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Argentino de Merlo: (0.62 weighted goals scored + 1.34 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.98 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
San Martín Burzaco recent form
1.10 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Talleres RemediosPrimera B Metropolitana | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Deportivo LaferrerePrimera B Metropolitana | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Brown DE AdroguePrimera B Metropolitana | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Deportivo ArmenioPrimera B Metropolitana | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| FlandriaPrimera B Metropolitana | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Argentino QuilmesPrimera B Metropolitana | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| Defensores UnidosPrimera B Metropolitana | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| ComunicacionesPrimera B Metropolitana | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Dock SudPrimera B Metropolitana | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Deportivo MerloPrimera B Metropolitana | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from San Martín Burzaco’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Argentino de Merlo recent form
0.60 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villa San CarlosPrimera B Metropolitana | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| LiniersPrimera B Metropolitana | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Real PilarPrimera B Metropolitana | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| UAI UrquizaPrimera B Metropolitana | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Villa DalminePrimera B Metropolitana | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| ExcursionistasPrimera B Metropolitana | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Arsenal SarandiPrimera B Metropolitana | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| ItuzaingóPrimera B Metropolitana | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Talleres RemediosPrimera B Metropolitana | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Deportivo LaferrerePrimera B Metropolitana | Home | 1–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Argentino de Merlo’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Primera B Metropolitana — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
San Martín Burzaco are ranked 11 in Prim B Metro, with 50 points from 38 games.
Argentino de Merlo are ranked 14 in Prim B Metro, with 44 points from 38 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Excursionistas | 38 | 22 | 8 | 8 | 59 | 30 | 29 | 74 |
| 2 | Arsenal Sarandi | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 50 | 25 | 25 | 69 |
| 3 | Talleres Remedios | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 40 | 23 | 17 | 67 |
| 4 | Sportivo Italiano | 38 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 45 | 28 | 17 | 65 |
| 5 | Villa Dalmine | 38 | 17 | 13 | 8 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 64 |
| 6 | Deportivo Camioneros | 38 | 17 | 12 | 9 | 43 | 29 | 14 | 63 |
| 7 | Real Pilar | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 42 | 38 | 4 | 61 |
| 8 | Deportivo Armenio | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 42 | 38 | 4 | 60 |
| 9 | Comunicaciones | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 39 | 34 | 5 | 55 |
| 10 | Deportivo Laferrere | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 46 | 50 | -4 | 51 |
| 11 | San Martín Burzaco | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 39 | 41 | -2 | 50 |
| 12 | Dock Sud | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 40 | 42 | -2 | 47 |
| 13 | Villa San Carlos | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 47 |
| 14 | Argentino de Merlo | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 44 |
| 15 | Deportivo Merlo | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 36 | 51 | -15 | 44 |
| 16 | Argentino Quilmes | 38 | 9 | 16 | 13 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 43 |
| 17 | Liniers | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 43 |
| 18 | Defensores Unidos | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 41 |
| 19 | Brown DE Adrogue | 38 | 8 | 15 | 15 | 24 | 37 | -13 | 39 |
| 20 | Flandria | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 39 |
| 21 | UAI Urquiza | 38 | 5 | 20 | 13 | 21 | 35 | -14 | 35 |
| 22 | Ituzaingó | 38 | 1 | 12 | 25 | 25 | 62 | -37 | 15 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.