Nacional B · Round of 16
San Martin de YacuibavsMunicipal Tiquipaya
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 6 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Nacional B
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
San Martin de Yacuiba vs Municipal Tiquipaya: match review and analysis
San Martin de Yacuiba vs Municipal Tiquipaya in Nacional B on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
San Martin de Yacuiba recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses in the 6 games used here, scoring 6 and conceding 8. Municipal Tiquipaya recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, with 23 scored and 10 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | San Martin de Yacuiba | Municipal Tiquipaya |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 6 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 5 |
| Draws | 0 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 6 | 23 |
| Goals conceded | 8 | 10 |
| Over 1.5 games | 2 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
San Martin de Yacuiba: (1.29 weighted goals scored + 0.96 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.12 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Municipal Tiquipaya: (2.18 weighted goals scored + 1.28 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.73 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 6 GAMES
San Martin de Yacuiba recent form
1.00 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game. 2 of 6 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Universitario BeniNacional B | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| VirginiaNacional B | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Municipal TiquipayaNacional B | Away | 0–5 | Lost | |
| VirginiaNacional B | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Municipal TiquipayaNacional B | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Universitario BeniNacional B | Away | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from San Martin de Yacuiba’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded. Only 6 usable previous results were available.
LAST 10 GAMES
Municipal Tiquipaya recent form
2.30 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VirginiaNacional B | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Universitario BeniNacional B | Home | 6–0 | Won | |
| San Martin de YacuibaNacional B | Home | 5–0 | Won | |
| Universitario BeniNacional B | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| San Martin de YacuibaNacional B | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| VirginiaNacional B | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Primero MayoNacional B | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Primero MayoNacional B | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| IngenioNacional B | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| IngenioNacional B | Away | 3–3 | Draw |
Scores shown from Municipal Tiquipaya’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Nacional B — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Municipal Tiquipaya are ranked 2 in Nacional B, with 11 points from 6 games.
San Martin de Yacuiba are ranked 3 in Nacional B, with 9 points from 6 games.
San Martin de Yacuiba are ranked 4 in Nacional B, with 9 points from 6 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | EM Huanuni | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 14 |
| 1 | 26 de Febrero | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 15 |
| 1 | Independiente CBBA | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 15 |
| 1 | Virginia | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 14 |
| 1 | CD IN San Juan FC | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 13 |
| 1 | Primero Mayo | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 12 |
| 1 | Wilstermann Cooperativa | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 10 |
| 2 | Deportivo FATIC | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 10 |
| 2 | Chaco | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 9 |
| 2 | Mineros Potosi | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 8 | 12 | 10 |
| 2 | Municipal Tiquipaya | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 11 |
| 2 | Deportivo Tigres | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 8 |
| 2 | Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 11 |
| 2 | Atletico Sucre | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 9 |
| 3 | Atletico Sucre | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 9 |
| 3 | Hiska Nacional | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 7 |
| 3 | Wilstermann Cooperativa | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 10 |
| 3 | San Martin de Yacuiba | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 9 |
| 3 | Club Universitario | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 8 |
| 3 | Unión Tarija | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 3 | Unión Tarija | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 4 | Ingenieros | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 4 |
| 4 | Atletico Juniors | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 26 | -21 | 0 |
| 4 | Universitario Beni | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 19 | -16 | 0 |
| 4 | Universitario Tarija | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 17 | -12 | 4 |
| 4 | CD Guadalajara | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 2 |
| 4 | San Martin de Yacuiba | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 9 |
| 5 | Club Universitario | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 8 |
| 6 | Hiska Nacional | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 7 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.