Primera A · Clausura - 7
Santa FevsJaguares
RealScored · Match preview
Match prediction · 14 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Primera A
- Venue
- Estadio El Campin
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
Santa Fe vs Jaguares: match review and analysis
Santa Fe vs Jaguares in Primera A on 14 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Santa Fe recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 13 and conceding 10. Jaguares recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses, with 14 scored and 17 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Santa Fe | Jaguares |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 13 | 14 |
| Goals conceded | 10 | 17 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Santa Fe: (1.31 weighted goals scored + 1.86 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.59 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Jaguares: (1.39 weighted goals scored + 1.04 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.22 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Santa Fe recent form
1.30 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortaleza FCCopa Colombia | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Independiente MedellinPrimera A | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Deportivo PereiraPrimera A | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Union MagdalenaCopa Colombia | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Deportivo CaliPrimera A | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Alianza ValleduparPrimera A | Away | 4–1 | Won | |
| Vasco DA GamaCONMEBOL Sudamericana | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Deportes TolimaPrimera A | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Vasco DA GamaCONMEBOL Sudamericana | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Fortaleza FCPrimera A | Home | 2–2 | Draw |
Scores shown from Santa Fe’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Jaguares recent form
1.40 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportes TolimaPrimera A | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| Águilas DoradasPrimera A | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Alianza ValleduparPrimera A | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Independiente MedellinPrimera A | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Fortaleza FCPrimera A | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| JuniorPrimera A | Away | 3–3 | Draw | |
| America de CaliPrimera A | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| ChicoPrimera A | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Once CaldasPrimera A | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Internacional de BogotaPrimera A | Away | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Jaguares’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Primera A — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Santa Fe are ranked 7 in Apertura, with 29 points from 19 games.
Jaguares are ranked 16 in Apertura, with 18 points from 19 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35 | 15 | 20 | 40 |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 35 |
| 3 | Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 34 |
| 4 | America de Cali | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 33 |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31 | 22 | 9 | 33 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27 | 17 | 10 | 31 |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 29 |
| 8 | Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 28 |
| 9 | Deportivo Cali | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 27 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 26 |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 26 |
| 12 | Águilas Doradas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 26 |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 23 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza FC | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 22 |
| 16 | Jaguares | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 18 |
| 17 | Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 17 |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 17 |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 35 | -13 | 16 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 10 |
Santa Fe are ranked 6 in Clausura, with 22 points from 12 games.
Jaguares are ranked 18 in Clausura, with 10 points from 12 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | America de Cali | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 25 | 9 | 16 | 27 |
| 2 | Deportivo Cali | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 25 |
| 3 | Atletico Nacional | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 23 |
| 4 | Bucaramanga | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 23 |
| 5 | Independiente Medellin | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
| 6 | Santa Fe | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 22 |
| 7 | Millonarios | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 22 |
| 8 | Deportes Tolima | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 20 |
| 9 | Cucuta | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 18 |
| 10 | Once Caldas | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 16 |
| 11 | Águilas Doradas | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 15 |
| 12 | Llaneros | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 14 |
| 13 | Internacional de Bogota | 14 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 14 |
| 14 | Chico | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 12 |
| 15 | Alianza Valledupar | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 12 |
| 16 | Fortaleza FC | 13 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 11 |
| 17 | Junior | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 10 |
| 18 | Jaguares | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 10 |
| 19 | Deportivo Pasto | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 9 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 12 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 9 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.