Segunda División · Relegation Group - 3
SantosvsDeportivo Binacional
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Segunda División
- Venue
- Estadio Municipal de Nasca
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Santos vs Deportivo Binacional: match review and analysis
Santos vs Deportivo Binacional in Segunda División on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Santos recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 15 and conceding 17. Deportivo Binacional recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses, with 7 scored and 43 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Santos | Deportivo Binacional |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 5 | 7 |
| Goals scored | 15 | 7 |
| Goals conceded | 17 | 43 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Santos: (1.85 weighted goals scored + 4.42 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 3.13 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Deportivo Binacional: (0.70 weighted goals scored + 1.57 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.13 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Santos recent form
1.50 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Academia CantolaoSegunda División | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| MinasSegunda División | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Estudiantil CNISegunda División | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| Bentín Tacna HeroicaSegunda División | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Alianza UniversidadSegunda División | Home | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Sport Huancayo 2Segunda División | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| ComerciantesSegunda División | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Ayacucho FCSegunda División | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Deportivo BinacionalSegunda División | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Club Deportivo Los ChankasCopa De La Liga | Away | 0–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Santos’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Deportivo Binacional recent form
0.70 goals scored and 4.30 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Academia CantolaoSegunda División | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Alianza UniversidadSegunda División | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Sport Huancayo 2Segunda División | Away | 0–7 | Lost | |
| ComerciantesSegunda División | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Ayacucho FCSegunda División | Away | 1–7 | Lost | |
| MinasSegunda División | Home | 1–8 | Lost | |
| Estudiantil CNISegunda División | Away | 0–9 | Lost | |
| Bentín Tacna HeroicaSegunda División | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| SantosSegunda División | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Deportivo GarcilasoCopa De La Liga | Away | 1–4 | Lost |
Scores shown from Deportivo Binacional’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Segunda División — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Comercio | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 5 | 14 | 32 |
| 2 | Carlos A. Mannucci | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 30 |
| 3 | Deportivo Llacuabamba | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 10 | 13 | 28 |
| 4 | Molinos El Pirata | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 25 |
| 5 | U. San Martin | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 24 |
| 6 | Deportiva Agropecuaria | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 21 |
| 7 | Cesar Vallejo | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 19 |
| 8 | Academia Cantolao | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 14 |
| 9 | San Marcos | 14 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 44 | -43 | 0 |
Santos are ranked 6 in Segunda División, with 21 points from 16 games.
Deportivo Binacional are ranked 9 in Segunda División, with 10 points from 16 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bentín Tacna Heroica | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 29 |
| 2 | Comerciantes | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 24 | 15 | 9 | 26 |
| 3 | Minas | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 25 | 12 | 13 | 25 |
| 4 | Sport Huancayo 2 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 25 |
| 5 | Alianza Universidad | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 21 |
| 6 | Santos | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 21 |
| 7 | Ayacucho FC | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 19 |
| 8 | Estudiantil CNI | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 17 |
| 9 | Deportivo Binacional | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 49 | -39 | 10 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.