Mineiro - 3 · Regular Season - 4
Sao Joao del ReivsParacatu
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 9 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawBased on 3 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Mineiro - 3
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Sao Joao del Rei vs Paracatu: match review and analysis
Sao Joao del Rei vs Paracatu in Mineiro - 3 on 9 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Sao Joao del Rei recorded 1 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses in the 3 games used here, scoring 2 and conceding 2. Paracatu recorded 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 losses, with 18 scored and 7 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Sao Joao del Rei | Paracatu |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 3 | 10 |
| Wins | 1 | 5 |
| Draws | 0 | 4 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
| Goals scored | 2 | 18 |
| Goals conceded | 2 | 7 |
| Over 1.5 games | 1 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Sao Joao del Rei: (0.67 weighted goals scored + 0.70 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.69 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Paracatu: (1.94 weighted goals scored + 0.66 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.30 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 3 GAMES
Sao Joao del Rei recent form
0.67 goals scored and 0.67 conceded per game. 1 of 3 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betim 2Mineiro - 3 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| FunorteMineiro - 3 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| AraxáMineiro - 3 | Home | 2–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Sao Joao del Rei’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded. Only 3 usable previous results were available.
LAST 10 GAMES
Paracatu recent form
1.80 goals scored and 0.70 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FunorteMineiro - 3 | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| AraxáMineiro - 3 | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| SiderurgicaMineiro - 3 | Home | 5–0 | Won | |
| Novo Esporte ClubeMineiro - 3 | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| TupiMineiro - 3 | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| CoimbraMineiro - 3 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| BOAMineiro - 3 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| EssubeMineiro - 3 | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| EssubeMineiro - 3 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Juventus FC Minas NovasMineiro - 3 | Away | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Paracatu’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Mineiro - 3 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Paracatu are ranked 1 in Mineiro 3, with 9 points from 3 games.
Sao Joao del Rei are ranked 3 in Mineiro 3, with 3 points from 3 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nacional AC MG | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 9 |
| 1 | Paracatu | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 9 |
| 2 | Venda Nova | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 7 |
| 2 | Betim 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 9 |
| 3 | Novo Esporte Clube | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 3 | Sao Joao del Rei | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Inter de Minas | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 4 | Funorte | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 3 |
| 5 | Nova Lavras | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Araxá | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Santarritense | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 18 | -17 | 0 |
| 6 | Siderurgica | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 9 | -9 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.