Copa Paulista · Semi-finals
São José EC1–0Noroeste
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
Match Finished
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Copa Paulista
- Venue
- Estadio Martins Pereira
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–0
- 90-minute score
- 1–0
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
São José EC vs Noroeste: match review and analysis
São José EC vs Noroeste in Copa Paulista on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–0. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
São José EC recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 18 and conceding 6. Noroeste recorded 2 wins, 6 draws and 2 losses, with 14 scored and 16 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | São José EC | Noroeste |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 6 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 6 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 18 | 14 |
| Goals conceded | 6 | 16 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
São José EC: (1.74 weighted goals scored + 1.48 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.61 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Noroeste: (1.38 weighted goals scored + 0.50 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.94 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
São José EC recent form
1.80 goals scored and 0.60 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NoroesteCopa Paulista | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| ComercialCopa Paulista | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| ComercialCopa Paulista | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| São CaetanoCopa Paulista | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| EC São BernardoCopa Paulista | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| Santo AndréCopa Paulista | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Santo AndréCopa Paulista | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| EC São BernardoCopa Paulista | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| São CaetanoCopa Paulista | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| SertãozinhoPaulista - A2 | Home | 5–0 | Won |
Scores shown from São José EC’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Noroeste recent form
1.40 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| São José ECCopa Paulista | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Primavera SPCopa Paulista | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Primavera SPCopa Paulista | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| ComercialCopa Paulista | Home | 4–3 | Won | |
| União São JoãoCopa Paulista | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| XV de PiracicabaCopa Paulista | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| XV de PiracicabaCopa Paulista | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| União São JoãoCopa Paulista | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| ComercialCopa Paulista | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Portuguesa RJSerie D | Home | 1–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Noroeste’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Copa Paulista — current table
No league table is currently available for this competition and season. Some cup rounds and friendlies do not have standings.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.