Paraibano 2 · Regular Season - 9
São Paulo CrystalvsGuarabira
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Paraibano 2
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
São Paulo Crystal vs Guarabira: match review and analysis
São Paulo Crystal vs Guarabira in Paraibano 2 on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
São Paulo Crystal recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 10 and conceding 11. Guarabira recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses, with 18 scored and 8 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | São Paulo Crystal | Guarabira |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 4 |
| Draws | 4 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 10 | 18 |
| Goals conceded | 11 | 8 |
| Over 1.5 games | 5 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
São Paulo Crystal: (1.05 weighted goals scored + 0.80 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.93 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Guarabira: (1.52 weighted goals scored + 1.35 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.43 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
São Paulo Crystal recent form
1.00 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serrano PBParaibano 2 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| FemarParaibano 2 | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Santa RitaParaibano 2 | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Auto EsporteParaibano 2 | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| SpartaxParaibano 2 | Home | 4–3 | Won | |
| PicuienseParaibano 2 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Cruzeiro PBParaibano 2 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Sport PBParaibano 2 | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Confianca PBParaibano 2 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Atlético CajazeirenseParaibano 2 | Home | 3–0 | Won |
Scores shown from São Paulo Crystal’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Guarabira recent form
1.80 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Auto EsporteParaibano 2 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| SpartaxParaibano 2 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Serrano PBParaibano 2 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Cruzeiro PBParaibano 2 | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| PicuienseParaibano 2 | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| FemarParaibano 2 | Home | 5–0 | Won | |
| Sport PBParaibano 2 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Santa RitaParaibano 2 | Away | 6–0 | Won | |
| Atlético CajazeirenseParaibano 2 | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Atlético CajazeirenseParaibano 2 | Home | 2–2 | Draw |
Scores shown from Guarabira’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Paraibano 2 — current table
No league table is currently available for this competition and season. Some cup rounds and friendlies do not have standings.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.