Brasileiro Women · Final
São Paulo W1–1Corinthians W
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
Match Finished
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Brasileiro Women
- Venue
- Estadio do Caninde
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–1
- 90-minute score
- 1–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
São Paulo W vs Corinthians W: match review and analysis
São Paulo W vs Corinthians W in Brasileiro Women on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
São Paulo W recorded 9 wins, 1 draws and 0 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 20 and conceding 5. Corinthians W recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses, with 18 scored and 8 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | São Paulo W | Corinthians W |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 9 | 7 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 20 | 18 |
| Goals conceded | 5 | 8 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
São Paulo W: (1.82 weighted goals scored + 0.75 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.28 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Corinthians W: (1.52 weighted goals scored + 0.40 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.96 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
São Paulo W recent form
2.00 goals scored and 0.50 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corinthians WBrasileiro Women | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Flamengo WBrasileiro Women | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Flamengo WBrasileiro Women | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Gremio WBrasileiro Women | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Gremio WBrasileiro Women | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Mixto WBrasileiro Women | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Botafogo WBrasileiro Women | Away | 5–1 | Won | |
| RB Bragantino WBrasileiro Women | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Vitória BA WBrasileiro Women | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Cruzeiro WBrasileiro Women | Away | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from São Paulo W’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Corinthians W recent form
1.80 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| São Paulo WBrasileiro Women | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Bahia WBrasileiro Women | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Bahia WBrasileiro Women | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Cruzeiro WBrasileiro Women | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Cruzeiro WBrasileiro Women | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Internacional RS WBrasileiro Women | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Bahia WBrasileiro Women | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Santos WBrasileiro Women | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| Flamengo WBrasileiro Women | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Vitória BA WBrasileiro Women | Home | 4–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Corinthians W’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Brasileiro Women — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
São Paulo W are ranked 1 in Brasileiro Women, with 41 points from 17 games.
Corinthians W are ranked 2 in Brasileiro Women, with 38 points from 17 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | São Paulo W | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 31 | 11 | 20 | 41 |
| 2 | Corinthians W | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 42 | 18 | 24 | 38 |
| 3 | Palmeiras W | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 32 | 11 | 21 | 36 |
| 4 | Ferroviaria W | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 31 |
| 5 | Flamengo W | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 30 |
| 6 | Bahia W | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 21 | 9 | 29 |
| 7 | Cruzeiro W | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 28 |
| 8 | Gremio W | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 27 |
| 9 | Internacional RS W | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 27 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino W | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 30 | 26 | 4 | 26 |
| 11 | Fluminense W | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 26 |
| 12 | Santos W | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 23 |
| 13 | Atlético Mineiro W | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 16 |
| 14 | Mixto W | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 12 |
| 15 | Juventude W | 17 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 11 |
| 16 | America Mineiro W | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 9 | 34 | -25 | 7 |
| 17 | Vitória BA W | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 15 | 45 | -30 | 7 |
| 18 | Botafogo W | 17 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 10 | 38 | -28 | 5 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.