Reserve League · Clausura - 12
Sarmiento Res.vsVélez Sársfield Res.
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 8 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Reserve League
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Sarmiento Res. vs Vélez Sársfield Res.: match review and analysis
Sarmiento Res. vs Vélez Sársfield Res. in Reserve League on 8 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Sarmiento Res. recorded 3 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 10 and conceding 7. Vélez Sársfield Res. recorded 4 wins, 5 draws and 1 losses, with 11 scored and 3 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Sarmiento Res. | Vélez Sársfield Res. |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 4 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
| Goals scored | 10 | 11 |
| Goals conceded | 7 | 3 |
| Over 1.5 games | 5 | 5 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Sarmiento Res.: (1.04 weighted goals scored + 0.30 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.67 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Vélez Sársfield Res.: (1.10 weighted goals scored + 0.77 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.94 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Sarmiento Res. recent form
1.00 goals scored and 0.70 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| River Plate Res.Reserve League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Atl. Rafaela 2Reserve League | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Racing Club Res.Reserve League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Instituto Res.Reserve League | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Argentinos Juniors Res.Reserve League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Aldosivi Res.Reserve League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Gimnasia La Plata Res.Reserve League | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Unión Santa Fe Res.Reserve League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Atlético Tucumán Res.Reserve League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Godoy Cruz Res.Reserve League | Home | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Sarmiento Res.’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Vélez Sársfield Res. recent form
1.10 goals scored and 0.30 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Argentinos Juniors Res.Reserve League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Ferro 2Reserve League | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| Aldosivi Res.Reserve League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Gimnasia La Plata Res.Reserve League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Unión Santa Fe Res.Reserve League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Atlético Tucumán Res.Reserve League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Godoy Cruz Res.Reserve League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Gimnasia Mendoza 2Reserve League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Barracas Central Res.Reserve League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Banfield Res.Reserve League | Away | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Vélez Sársfield Res.’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Reserve League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Vélez Sársfield Res. are ranked 1 in Apertura, with 47 points from 20 games.
Sarmiento Res. are ranked 31 in Apertura, with 16 points from 18 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vélez Sársfield Res. | 20 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 42 | 13 | 29 | 47 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors Res. | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 36 | 12 | 24 | 39 |
| 3 | Racing Club Res. | 21 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 39 |
| 4 | River Plate Res. | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 37 |
| 5 | Independiente Res. | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 38 | 19 | 19 | 36 |
| 6 | Lanús Res. | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 40 | 27 | 13 | 35 |
| 7 | Newell's Old Boys Res. | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 34 |
| 8 | Quilmes 2 | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 33 |
| 9 | Defensa y Justicia Res. | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 38 | 24 | 14 | 32 |
| 10 | Atlético Tucumán Res. | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 30 |
| 11 | Unión Santa Fe Res. | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 29 |
| 12 | Estudiantes La Plata Res | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 28 |
| 13 | Argentinos Juniors Res. | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 24 | 18 | 6 | 28 |
| 14 | Belgrano Córdoba Res. | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 27 |
| 15 | Talleres Córdoba Res. | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 26 |
| 16 | Huracán Res. | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 26 |
| 17 | Rosario Central Res. | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 26 |
| 18 | Platense Res. | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 26 |
| 19 | Deportivo Riestra Res. | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 25 |
| 20 | Independiente Riva. Res. | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 24 |
| 21 | Instituto Res. | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 24 |
| 22 | San Lorenzo Res. | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 24 |
| 23 | Gimnasia La Plata Res. | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 23 |
| 24 | Gimnasia Mendoza 2 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 23 |
| 25 | Banfield Res. | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 23 |
| 26 | Ferro 2 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
| 27 | Central Córdoba SdE Res. | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 19 |
| 28 | Colón Res. | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 18 |
| 29 | Aldosivi Res. | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 18 |
| 30 | Barracas Central Res. | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 24 | -13 | 17 |
| 31 | Sarmiento Res. | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 16 |
| 32 | Tigre Res. | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
| 33 | Godoy Cruz Res. | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 20 | 30 | -10 | 15 |
| 34 | Atl. Rafaela 2 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 12 |
| 35 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 9 | 32 | -23 | 11 |
| 36 | San Martín San Juan Res. | 18 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 16 | 59 | -43 | 8 |
Vélez Sársfield Res. are ranked 12 in Clausura, with 17 points from 11 games.
Sarmiento Res. are ranked 15 in Clausura, with 17 points from 11 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente Res. | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 9 | 16 | 27 |
| 2 | Deportivo Riestra Res. | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 23 |
| 3 | Lanús Res. | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 13 | 7 | 23 |
| 4 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 23 |
| 5 | River Plate Res. | 12 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 22 |
| 6 | Estudiantes La Plata Res | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 21 |
| 7 | Gimnasia Mendoza 2 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 20 |
| 8 | Rosario Central Res. | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 20 |
| 9 | Boca Juniors Res. | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 19 |
| 10 | Belgrano Córdoba Res. | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 19 |
| 11 | Atl. Rafaela 2 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 19 |
| 12 | Vélez Sársfield Res. | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 17 |
| 13 | Gimnasia La Plata Res. | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 17 |
| 14 | Huracán Res. | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 17 |
| 15 | Sarmiento Res. | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 17 |
| 16 | Talleres Córdoba Res. | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 17 |
| 17 | Unión Santa Fe Res. | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 16 |
| 18 | Godoy Cruz Res. | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 16 |
| 19 | Quilmes 2 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 16 |
| 20 | Instituto Res. | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 15 |
| 21 | Newell's Old Boys Res. | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 14 |
| 22 | San Lorenzo Res. | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 14 |
| 23 | Tigre Res. | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 14 |
| 24 | Racing Club Res. | 12 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 13 |
| 25 | Defensa y Justicia Res. | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 12 |
| 26 | Central Córdoba SdE Res. | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 12 |
| 27 | Atlético Tucumán Res. | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 12 |
| 28 | Aldosivi Res. | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 11 |
| 29 | Argentinos Juniors Res. | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 11 |
| 30 | San Martín San Juan Res. | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 10 |
| 31 | Independiente Riva. Res. | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 9 |
| 32 | Banfield Res. | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 22 | -12 | 9 |
| 33 | Colón Res. | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 8 |
| 34 | Platense Res. | 12 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 7 |
| 35 | Barracas Central Res. | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 7 |
| 36 | Ferro 2 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 24 | -15 | 6 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.