Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 · Group 1 - 6
SarrianavsArenteiro
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Tercera División RFEF - Group 1
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Sarriana vs Arenteiro: match review and analysis
Sarriana vs Arenteiro in Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Sarriana recorded 5 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 17 and conceding 13. Arenteiro recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 8 losses, with 4 scored and 15 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Sarriana | Arenteiro |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 5 | 8 |
| Goals scored | 17 | 4 |
| Goals conceded | 13 | 15 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 4 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Sarriana: (1.81 weighted goals scored + 1.42 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.62 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Arenteiro: (0.48 weighted goals scored + 1.46 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.97 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Sarriana recent form
1.70 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SomozasTercera División RFEF - Group 1 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Celta de Vigo IIITercera División RFEF - Group 1 | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| AlondrasTercera División RFEF - Group 1 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| ViveiroTercera División RFEF - Group 1 | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| EstradenseTercera División RFEF - Group 1 | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Racing Santander IISegunda División RFEF - Group 1 | Home | 3–4 | Lost | |
| Atlético AstorgaSegunda División RFEF - Group 1 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Marino de LuancoSegunda División RFEF - Group 1 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| BergantiñosSegunda División RFEF - Group 1 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| SámanoSegunda División RFEF - Group 1 | Home | 4–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Sarriana’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Arenteiro recent form
0.40 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 4 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AntelaTercera División RFEF - Group 1 | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Pontevedra IITercera División RFEF - Group 1 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| LalinTercera División RFEF - Group 1 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Portonovo SDTercera División RFEF - Group 1 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| BarcoTercera División RFEF - Group 1 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| LugoPrimera División RFEF - Group 1 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| PonferradinaPrimera División RFEF - Group 1 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| GuadalajaraPrimera División RFEF - Group 1 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| CacereñoPrimera División RFEF - Group 1 | Home | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Osasuna IIPrimera División RFEF - Group 1 | Away | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Arenteiro’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Sarriana are ranked 5 in Tercera: Group 1, with 9 points from 5 games.
Arenteiro are ranked 17 in Tercera: Group 1, with 3 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boiro | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| 2 | Barco | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 |
| 3 | Lalin | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 10 |
| 4 | Antela | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 10 |
| 5 | Sarriana | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 6 | Villalbés | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 9 |
| 7 | Alondras | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 9 |
| 8 | Pontevedra II | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 7 |
| 9 | Portonovo SD | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
| 10 | Celta de Vigo III | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 | Estradense | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 7 |
| 12 | Celtiga | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 | Somozas | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 | Atlético Arteixo | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 5 |
| 15 | Silva | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 5 |
| 16 | Viveiro | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 4 |
| 17 | Arenteiro | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 3 |
| 18 | Coruña | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 3 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.