Torneo Promocional Amateur · Semi-finals
SAT Moreno2–2Deportivo Metalurgico
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 5 October 2026
Match Finished
This match has finished. Go back home for the latest fixtures →
THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Torneo Promocional Amateur
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 2–2
- 90-minute score
- 2–2
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
No goals in the latest saved events.
Cards
No cards in the latest saved events.
Events updated
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Lineups updated
Real Scored match analysis
SAT Moreno vs Deportivo Metalurgico: match review and analysis
SAT Moreno vs Deportivo Metalurgico in Torneo Promocional Amateur on 5 October 2026 has finished after a penalty shootout. The match goal score was 2–2, excluding shootout kicks. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
SAT Moreno recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 14 and conceding 11. Deportivo Metalurgico recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses, with 27 scored and 8 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | SAT Moreno | Deportivo Metalurgico |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 7 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 1 |
| Goals scored | 14 | 27 |
| Goals conceded | 11 | 8 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
SAT Moreno: (1.25 weighted goals scored + 0.79 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.02 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Deportivo Metalurgico: (2.84 weighted goals scored + 1.18 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.01 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
SAT Moreno recent form
1.40 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo MetalurgicoTorneo Promocional Amateur | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Barrancas UMETTorneo Promocional Amateur | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Barrancas UMETTorneo Promocional Amateur | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Estrella de BerissoTorneo Promocional Amateur | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Deportivo MetalurgicoTorneo Promocional Amateur | Home | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Atletico PilarTorneo Promocional Amateur | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Juventud de BernalTorneo Promocional Amateur | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Nautico HacoajTorneo Promocional Amateur | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Defensores GlewTorneo Promocional Amateur | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| ProvincialTorneo Promocional Amateur | Home | 3–0 | Won |
Scores shown from SAT Moreno’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Deportivo Metalurgico recent form
2.70 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SAT MorenoTorneo Promocional Amateur | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| EzeizaTorneo Promocional Amateur | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| EzeizaTorneo Promocional Amateur | Away | 5–1 | Won | |
| Atletico PilarTorneo Promocional Amateur | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| SAT MorenoTorneo Promocional Amateur | Away | 4–1 | Won | |
| Juventud de BernalTorneo Promocional Amateur | Home | 7–0 | Won | |
| Nautico HacoajTorneo Promocional Amateur | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Defensores GlewTorneo Promocional Amateur | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| ProvincialTorneo Promocional Amateur | Away | 5–0 | Won | |
| Estrella de BerissoTorneo Promocional Amateur | Home | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Deportivo Metalurgico’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Torneo Promocional Amateur — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
SAT Moreno are ranked 1 in Regular Season, with 33 points from 14 games.
Deportivo Metalurgico are ranked 3 in Regular Season, with 32 points from 14 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SAT Moreno | 14 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 33 |
| 2 | Defensores Glew | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 37 | 8 | 29 | 32 |
| 3 | Deportivo Metalurgico | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 10 | 22 | 32 |
| 4 | Barrancas UMET | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 31 |
| 5 | Uribelarrea | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 29 |
| 6 | Ezeiza | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 26 |
| 7 | Buenos Aires City | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 25 |
| 8 | Nautico Hacoaj | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 24 |
| 9 | Belgrano Zarate | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 22 |
| 10 | Alumni Los Hornos | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 18 |
| 11 | Control Orientado | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 18 |
| 12 | Estrella de Berisso | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 15 |
| 13 | Everton La Plata | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 14 |
| 14 | Las Mandarinas | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 20 | -8 | 14 |
| 15 | Atletico Pilar | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 24 | -13 | 9 |
| 16 | Juventud de Bernal | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 41 | -31 | 8 |
| 17 | Provincial | 14 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 9 | 38 | -29 | 7 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.