Gulf Cup of Nations · Semi-finals
Saudi Arabia0–0Qatar
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Gulf Cup of Nations
- Venue
- King Abdullah Sports City
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 0–0
- 90-minute score
- 0–0
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Saudi Arabia vs Qatar: match review and analysis
Saudi Arabia vs Qatar in Gulf Cup of Nations on 3 October 2026 has finished after a penalty shootout. The match goal score was 0–0, excluding shootout kicks. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Saudi Arabia recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 12 and conceding 9. Qatar recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses, with 7 scored and 16 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Saudi Arabia | Qatar |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 4 |
| Losses | 3 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 12 | 7 |
| Goals conceded | 9 | 16 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Saudi Arabia: (1.26 weighted goals scored + 1.61 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.44 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Qatar: (0.78 weighted goals scored + 0.64 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.71 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Saudi Arabia recent form
1.20 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IraqGulf Cup of Nations | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| OmanGulf Cup of Nations | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| KuwaitGulf Cup of Nations | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Cape Verde IslandsWorld Cup | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| SpainWorld Cup | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| UruguayWorld Cup | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| SenegalFriendlies | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Puerto RicoFriendlies | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| EcuadorFriendlies | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| SerbiaFriendlies | Away | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Saudi Arabia’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Qatar recent form
0.70 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| United Arab EmiratesGulf Cup of Nations | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| YemenGulf Cup of Nations | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| BahrainGulf Cup of Nations | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Bosnia & HerzegovinaWorld Cup | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| CanadaWorld Cup | Away | 0–6 | Lost | |
| SwitzerlandWorld Cup | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| El SalvadorFriendlies | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Rep. Of IrelandFriendlies | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| TunisiaArab Cup | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| SyriaArab Cup | Away | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Qatar’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Gulf Cup of Nations — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Saudi Arabia are ranked 1 in Group A, with 9 points from 3 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Saudi Arabia | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 9 |
| 2 | Oman | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 | Iraq | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | Kuwait | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 0 |
Qatar are ranked 2 in Group B, with 7 points from 3 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | United Arab Emirates | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 7 |
| 2 | Qatar | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Yemen | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 3 |
| 4 | Bahrain | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 10 | -8 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.