Bundesliga · Regular Season - 5
SC FreiburgvsFC Schalke 04
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Bundesliga
- Venue
- Europa-Park-Stadion
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
SC Freiburg vs FC Schalke 04: match review and analysis
SC Freiburg vs FC Schalke 04 in Bundesliga on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
SC Freiburg recorded 9 wins, 1 draws and 0 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 33 and conceding 8. FC Schalke 04 recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses, with 16 scored and 14 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | SC Freiburg | FC Schalke 04 |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 9 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 0 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 33 | 16 |
| Goals conceded | 8 | 14 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
SC Freiburg: (3.46 weighted goals scored + 1.26 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.36 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
FC Schalke 04: (1.87 weighted goals scored + 0.91 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.39 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
SC Freiburg recent form
3.30 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC LuzernFriendlies Clubs | Home | 4–2 | Won | |
| Eintracht FrankfurtBundesliga | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Borussia MönchengladbachBundesliga | Home | 5–0 | Won | |
| SC Paderborn 07Bundesliga | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Werder BremenBundesliga | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| MotherwellUEFA Europa Conference League | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| Fortuna DüsseldorfDFB Pokal | Away | 5–1 | Won | |
| MotherwellUEFA Europa Conference League | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Crystal PalaceFriendlies Clubs | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| StrasbourgFriendlies Clubs | Home | 2–0 | Won |
Scores shown from SC Freiburg’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
FC Schalke 04 recent form
1.60 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austria LustenauFriendlies Clubs | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Rot-weiss OberhausenFriendlies Clubs | Away | 5–2 | Won | |
| SV ElversbergBundesliga | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Union BerlinBundesliga | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Bayern MünchenBundesliga | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| FC AugsburgBundesliga | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Hallescher FCDFB Pokal | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Real MadridFriendlies Clubs | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| AtalantaFriendlies Clubs | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Hessen KasselFriendlies Clubs | Away | 5–0 | Won |
Scores shown from FC Schalke 04’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Bundesliga — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
SC Freiburg are ranked 3 in Bundesliga, with 10 points from 4 games.
FC Schalke 04 are ranked 11 in Bundesliga, with 5 points from 4 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Borussia Dortmund | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 13 |
| 2 | Bayern München | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 2 | 12 | 10 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 10 |
| 4 | Werder Bremen | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 8 |
| 5 | FC Augsburg | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 7 |
| 6 | Bayer Leverkusen | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 7 |
| 7 | FSV Mainz 05 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 7 |
| 8 | SV Elversberg | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 7 |
| 9 | RB Leipzig | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 5 |
| 11 | FC Schalke 04 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 | SC Paderborn 07 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 |
| 13 | 1. FC Köln | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 3 |
| 15 | VfB Stuttgart | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 3 |
| 16 | Hamburger SV | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 3 |
| 17 | Union Berlin | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 1 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.