Persian Gulf Pro League · Regular Season - 8
Sepahan FC6–1Fajr Sepasi
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 8 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Persian Gulf Pro League
- Venue
- Naghsh-e-Jahan Stadium
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 6–1
- 90-minute score
- 6–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Sepahan FC vs Fajr Sepasi: match review and analysis
Sepahan FC vs Fajr Sepasi in Persian Gulf Pro League on 8 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 6–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Sepahan FC recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 10 and conceding 7. Fajr Sepasi recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses, with 7 scored and 7 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Sepahan FC | Fajr Sepasi |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 3 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 10 | 7 |
| Goals conceded | 7 | 7 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 4 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Sepahan FC: (1.03 weighted goals scored + 0.73 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.88 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Fajr Sepasi: (0.60 weighted goals scored + 0.65 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.63 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Sepahan FC recent form
1.00 goals scored and 0.70 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esteghlal KhuzestanPersian Gulf Pro League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Sanat NaftPersian Gulf Pro League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Gol GoharPersian Gulf Pro League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Esteghlal FCPersian Gulf Pro League | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Tractor SaziPersian Gulf Pro League | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Chadormalu SCPersian Gulf Pro League | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| PaykanPersian Gulf Pro League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Esteghlal KhuzestanPersian Gulf Pro League | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Al Ahli DohaAFC Champions League Two | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Al Ahli DohaAFC Champions League Two | Home | 2–2 | Draw |
Scores shown from Sepahan FC’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Fajr Sepasi recent form
0.70 goals scored and 0.70 conceded per game. 4 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Foolad FCPersian Gulf Pro League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Mes Shahr-e BabakPersian Gulf Pro League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| ZOB AhanPersian Gulf Pro League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| MalavanPersian Gulf Pro League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Sanat NaftPersian Gulf Pro League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Kheybar KhorramabadPersian Gulf Pro League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Esteghlal FCPersian Gulf Pro League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Shams Azar QazvinPersian Gulf Pro League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Esteghlal KhuzestanPersian Gulf Pro League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Tractor SaziPersian Gulf Pro League | Home | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Fajr Sepasi’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Persian Gulf Pro League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Sepahan FC are ranked 5 in Premier League, with 10 points from 6 games.
Fajr Sepasi are ranked 11 in Premier League, with 7 points from 6 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tractor Sazi | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 16 |
| 2 | Esteghlal FC | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 15 |
| 3 | Persepolis FC | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 13 |
| 4 | Aluminium Arak | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 12 |
| 5 | Sepahan FC | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 10 |
| 6 | Gol Gohar | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 10 |
| 7 | Foolad FC | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 9 |
| 8 | Paykan | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 8 |
| 9 | Nassaji Mazandaran | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 | Chadormalu SC | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 8 |
| 11 | Fajr Sepasi | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7 |
| 12 | Malavan | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 | Kheybar Khorramabad | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 6 |
| 14 | ZOB Ahan | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 | Esteghlal Khuzestan | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 6 |
| 16 | Shams Azar Qazvin | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 5 |
| 17 | Mes Shahr-e Babak | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 5 |
| 18 | Sanat Naft | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 4 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.