Third League - Northeast · Northeast - 8
Septemvri Tervel3–0Septemvri Dragoevo
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 6 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Third League - Northeast
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 3–0
- 90-minute score
- 3–0
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Septemvri Tervel vs Septemvri Dragoevo: match review and analysis
Septemvri Tervel vs Septemvri Dragoevo in Third League - Northeast on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 3–0. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Septemvri Tervel recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 24 and conceding 8. Septemvri Dragoevo recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 12 scored and 14 conceded across 6 games.
| Statistic | Septemvri Tervel | Septemvri Dragoevo |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 6 |
| Wins | 6 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 24 | 12 |
| Goals conceded | 8 | 14 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Septemvri Tervel: (2.33 weighted goals scored + 2.44 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.39 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Septemvri Dragoevo: (1.72 weighted goals scored + 0.96 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.34 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Septemvri Tervel recent form
2.40 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ustrem DonchevoThird League - Northeast | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Fratria IIThird League - Northeast | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Devnya 2005Third League - Northeast | Home | 5–2 | Won | |
| Volov ShumenThird League - Northeast | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Spartak Varna IIThird League - Northeast | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| Ludogorets IIIThird League - Northeast | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Cherno more IIThird League - Northeast | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Chernomorets BalchikThird League - Northeast | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Fratria IIThird League - Northeast | Away | 4–0 | Won | |
| RiltziThird League - Northeast | Home | 5–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Septemvri Tervel’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 6 GAMES
Septemvri Dragoevo recent form
2.00 goals scored and 2.33 conceded per game. 6 of 6 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benkovski IsperihThird League - Northeast | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Volov ShumenThird League - Northeast | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| RiltziThird League - Northeast | Home | 4–2 | Won | |
| Svetkavitsa 14Third League - Northeast | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Olympic VarnaThird League - Northeast | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| AksakovoThird League - Northeast | Home | 4–2 | Won |
Scores shown from Septemvri Dragoevo’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded. Only 6 usable previous results were available.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Third League - Northeast — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Septemvri Tervel are ranked 7 in Northeast, with 11 points from 5 games.
Septemvri Dragoevo are ranked 11 in Northeast, with 8 points from 7 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Volov Shumen | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 6 | 18 | 16 |
| 2 | Ludogorets III | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 16 |
| 3 | Svetkavitsa 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 16 |
| 4 | Chernolomets 1919 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 14 |
| 5 | Chernomorets Balchik | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 14 |
| 6 | Benkovski Isperih | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 11 |
| 7 | Septemvri Tervel | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 11 |
| 8 | Cherno more II | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 10 |
| 9 | Botev Novi Pazar | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 9 |
| 10 | Riltzi | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 9 |
| 11 | Septemvri Dragoevo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 8 |
| 12 | Devnya 2005 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 7 |
| 13 | Fratria II | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 24 | -16 | 7 |
| 14 | Olympic Varna | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 6 |
| 15 | Aksakovo | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 20 | -11 | 4 |
| 16 | Ustrem Donchevo | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 1 |
| 17 | Dorostol | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.