Friendlies · Friendly International
Serbia U212–1Russia U21
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 5 October 2026
Match Finished
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawLost
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Friendlies
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 2–1
- 90-minute score
- 2–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
- 34′M. MitrovicNormal GoalSerbia U21
- 46′M. VelickovicNormal GoalSerbia U21
- 64′A. PomalyukPenaltyRussia U21
Cards
- 70′M. UmnikovRed CardRussia U21
- 70′M. MitrovicRed CardSerbia U21
Events updated
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Serbia U21 vs Russia U21: match review and analysis
Serbia U21 vs Russia U21 in Friendlies on 5 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 2–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Serbia U21 recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 13 and conceding 11. Russia U21 recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses, with 25 scored and 8 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Serbia U21 | Russia U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 6 | 7 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 13 | 25 |
| Goals conceded | 11 | 8 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Serbia U21: (1.30 weighted goals scored + 0.78 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.04 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Russia U21: (2.73 weighted goals scored + 1.20 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.96 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Serbia U21 recent form
1.30 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia U21Friendlies | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Kyrgyz Republic U23Friendlies | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Kyrgyz Republic U23Friendlies | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| USA U21Friendlies | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Czech Republic U21Friendlies | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Romania U21Friendlies | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| France U21Friendlies | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Ukraine U21UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Azerbaijan U21UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Ukraine U21UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification | Away | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Serbia U21’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Russia U21 recent form
2.50 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serbia U21Friendlies | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Iraq U23Friendlies | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Iraq U23Friendlies | Home | 5–1 | Won | |
| Jordan U23Friendlies | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Uzbekistan U23Friendlies | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Kyrgyz Republic U23Friendlies | Away | 8–0 | Won | |
| Bahrain U23Friendlies | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Iran U23Friendlies | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Belarus U21Friendlies | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Belarus U21Friendlies | Away | 0–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Russia U21’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Friendlies — current table
No league table is currently available for this competition and season. Some cup rounds and friendlies do not have standings.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.