Carioca B2 · Group Stage - 7
Serra Macaense3–0Santa Cruz RJ
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 5 October 2026
Match Finished
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Carioca B2
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 3–0
- 90-minute score
- 3–0
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
- 46′Unknown playerNormal GoalSerra Macaense
- 51′Unknown playerNormal GoalSerra Macaense
- 84′Unknown playerNormal GoalSerra Macaense
Cards
- 29′Unknown playerRed CardSanta Cruz RJ
Events updated
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Lineups updated
Real Scored match analysis
Serra Macaense vs Santa Cruz RJ: match review and analysis
Serra Macaense vs Santa Cruz RJ in Carioca B2 on 5 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 3–0. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Serra Macaense recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 15 and conceding 11. Santa Cruz RJ recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses, with 12 scored and 19 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Serra Macaense | Santa Cruz RJ |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 6 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 15 | 12 |
| Goals conceded | 11 | 19 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Serra Macaense: (1.56 weighted goals scored + 1.84 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.70 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Santa Cruz RJ: (1.17 weighted goals scored + 1.18 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.17 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Serra Macaense recent form
1.50 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardoso MoreiraCarioca B2 | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| Rio de JaneiroCarioca B2 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| BúziosCarioca B2 | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| PaduanoCarioca B2 | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| 7 de AbrilCarioca B2 | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| FriburguenseCarioca B2 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| SE Belford RoxoCarioca B2 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| MacaéCarioca B2 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Rio de JaneiroCarioca B2 | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| GoytacazCarioca B2 | Home | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Serra Macaense’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Santa Cruz RJ recent form
1.20 goals scored and 1.90 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SE Belford RoxoCarioca B2 | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Cardoso MoreiraCarioca B2 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Rio de JaneiroCarioca B2 | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| BúziosCarioca B2 | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| PaduanoCarioca B2 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| 7 de AbrilCarioca B2 | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Pérolas NegrasCopa Rio | Away | 1–5 | Lost | |
| Pérolas NegrasCopa Rio | Home | 0–5 | Lost | |
| MacaéCarioca B2 | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| MacaéCarioca B2 | Away | 0–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Santa Cruz RJ’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Carioca B2 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Serra Macaense are ranked 2 in Carioca B2, with 13 points from 7 games.
Santa Cruz RJ are ranked 4 in Carioca B2, with 12 points from 7 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Friburguense | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 14 |
| 2 | Serra Macaense | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 13 |
| 3 | Cardoso Moreira | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 13 |
| 4 | Santa Cruz RJ | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 12 |
| 5 | Paduano | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 11 |
| 6 | Rio de Janeiro | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 10 |
| 7 | 7 de Abril | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 10 |
| 8 | SE Belford Roxo | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 9 |
| 9 | Campos AA | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 | Barra Mansa | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
| 11 | Búzios | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 18 | -13 | 3 |
| 12 | Paraty | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 21 | -17 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.