Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 · Group 1 - 6
Sestao RivervsGimnástica Torrelavega
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
- Venue
- Estadio Las Llanas
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Sestao River vs Gimnástica Torrelavega: match review and analysis
Sestao River vs Gimnástica Torrelavega in Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Sestao River recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 16 and conceding 7. Gimnástica Torrelavega recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses, with 15 scored and 18 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Sestao River | Gimnástica Torrelavega |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 7 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 16 | 15 |
| Goals conceded | 7 | 18 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Sestao River: (1.92 weighted goals scored + 1.87 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.90 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Gimnástica Torrelavega: (1.45 weighted goals scored + 0.70 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.08 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Sestao River recent form
1.60 goals scored and 0.70 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GernikaSegunda División RFEF - Group 1 | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| TerrassaCopa Federacion | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| Atlético AstorgaSegunda División RFEF - Group 1 | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| CompostelaSegunda División RFEF - Group 1 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| ComillasCopa Federacion | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Real Oviedo IISegunda División RFEF - Group 1 | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Badalona IICopa Federacion | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Racing Santander IISegunda División RFEF - Group 1 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| DerioFriendlies Clubs | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Gimnástica TorrelavegaFriendlies Clubs | Away | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Sestao River’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Gimnástica Torrelavega recent form
1.50 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marino de LuancoSegunda División RFEF - Group 1 | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Real Oviedo IISegunda División RFEF - Group 1 | Away | 3–3 | Draw | |
| BergantiñosSegunda División RFEF - Group 1 | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Eibar IISegunda División RFEF - Group 1 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| LlaneraSegunda División RFEF - Group 1 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| BezanaFriendlies Clubs | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Sestao RiverFriendlies Clubs | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| BasconiaFriendlies Clubs | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Sporting GijonFriendlies Clubs | Away | 0–5 | Lost | |
| BarquereñoTercera División RFEF - Group 3 | Away | 5–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Gimnástica Torrelavega’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Sestao River are ranked 4 in Segunda Rfef: Group 1, with 12 points from 5 games.
Gimnástica Torrelavega are ranked 14 in Segunda Rfef: Group 1, with 4 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bergantiños | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 13 |
| 2 | Eibar II | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 12 |
| 3 | Deportivo Alavés II | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| 4 | Sestao River | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 12 |
| 5 | Ourense CF | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 10 |
| 6 | Gernika | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 8 |
| 7 | Basconia | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 8 |
| 8 | Amorebieta | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| 9 | Portugalete | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 7 |
| 10 | Real Oviedo II | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 7 |
| 11 | Marino de Luanco | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 6 |
| 12 | Coruxo | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 | Compostela | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 | Gimnástica Torrelavega | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 4 |
| 15 | Llanera | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 | Atlético Astorga | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 3 |
| 17 | Arosa | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 3 |
| 18 | Racing Santander II | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 11 | -8 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.