Coppa Italia Serie D · Round of 64
Sestri Levante1–0Pistoiese
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 7 October 2026
Match Finished
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawLost
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Coppa Italia Serie D
- Venue
- Giuseppe Sivori
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–0
- 90-minute score
- 1–0
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Sestri Levante vs Pistoiese: match review and analysis
Sestri Levante vs Pistoiese in Coppa Italia Serie D on 7 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–0. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Sestri Levante recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 11 and conceding 13. Pistoiese recorded 7 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses, with 24 scored and 3 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Sestri Levante | Pistoiese |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 7 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 5 | 0 |
| Goals scored | 11 | 24 |
| Goals conceded | 13 | 3 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Sestri Levante: (1.04 weighted goals scored + 0.25 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.65 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Pistoiese: (2.36 weighted goals scored + 1.37 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.87 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Sestri Levante recent form
1.10 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BorgosesiaSerie D - Girone A | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| BielleseSerie D - Girone A | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| LascarisSerie D - Girone A | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| FezzaneseSerie D - Girone A | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| AlessandriaSerie D - Girone A | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| AstiSerie D - Girone A | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Sampdoria U20Friendlies Clubs | Away | 4–1 | Won | |
| Genoa U20Friendlies Clubs | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| SanremeseSerie D - Girone A | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Celle VarazzeSerie D - Girone A | Away | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Sestri Levante’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Pistoiese recent form
2.40 goals scored and 0.30 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD CasateseSerie D - Girone D | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Sant'AngeloSerie D - Girone D | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| VaresinaSerie D - Girone D | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| ArconateseSerie D - Girone D | Home | 5–0 | Won | |
| CremaSerie D - Girone D | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| SolbiateseSerie D - Girone D | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| SeravezzaFriendlies Clubs | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| PiacenzaSerie D - Girone D | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Cittadella Vis ModenaSerie D - Girone D | Home | 5–0 | Won | |
| Desenzano CalvinaSerie D - Girone D | Away | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Pistoiese’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Coppa Italia Serie D — current table
No league table is currently available for this competition and season. Some cup rounds and friendlies do not have standings.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.