First NL · Regular Season - 8
SesvetevsJadran LP
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 9 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- First NL
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Sesvete vs Jadran LP: match review and analysis
Sesvete vs Jadran LP in First NL on 9 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Sesvete recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 10 and conceding 12. Jadran LP recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 20 scored and 9 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Sesvete | Jadran LP |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 6 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 5 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 10 | 20 |
| Goals conceded | 12 | 9 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Sesvete: (1.12 weighted goals scored + 1.07 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.09 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Jadran LP: (1.88 weighted goals scored + 1.22 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.55 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Sesvete recent form
1.00 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Croatia ZmijavciFirst NL | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| HNK CibaliaFirst NL | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Dinamo Zagreb U21First NL | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Segesta SisakFirst NL | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Mladost ŽdraloviFirst NL | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| DugopoljeFirst NL | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Karlovac 1919First NL | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| NK Slaven BelupoFriendlies Clubs | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| KoprivnicaFriendlies Clubs | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Karlovac 1919Friendlies Clubs | Away | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Sesvete’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Jadran LP recent form
2.00 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ZrinjskiFriendlies Clubs | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| KustosijaFirst NL | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| VukovarFirst NL | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| Orijent 1919First NL | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Bsk Bijelo BrdoFirst NL | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Dubrava ZagrebFirst NL | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| HrvaceFirst NL | Away | 4–1 | Won | |
| OpatijaFirst NL | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| KriževciSecond NL | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Dakovo-CroatiaSecond NL | Away | 6–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Jadran LP’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
First NL — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Jadran LP are ranked 1 in 2 HNL, with 14 points from 7 games.
Sesvete are ranked 7 in 2 HNL, with 9 points from 7 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jadran LP | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 14 |
| 2 | Croatia Zmijavci | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | HNK Cibalia | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 13 |
| 4 | Bsk Bijelo Brdo | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 13 |
| 5 | Segesta Sisak | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 11 |
| 6 | Mladost Ždralovi | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 11 |
| 7 | Sesvete | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 9 |
| 8 | Dinamo Zagreb U21 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 9 |
| 9 | Dugopolje | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 | Dubrava Zagreb | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 8 |
| 11 | Karlovac 1919 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 8 |
| 12 | Orijent 1919 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 | Vukovar | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 8 |
| 14 | Opatija | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 7 |
| 15 | Hrvace | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 |
| 16 | Kustosija | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 6 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.