Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 · Group 4 - 5
Sevilla Atletico2–2Badajoz
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 4 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayLost
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
- Venue
- Estadio Jesus Navas
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 2–2
- 90-minute score
- 2–2
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Sevilla Atletico vs Badajoz: match review and analysis
Sevilla Atletico vs Badajoz in Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 on 4 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 2–2. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Sevilla Atletico recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 11 and conceding 13. Badajoz recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, with 11 scored and 6 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Sevilla Atletico | Badajoz |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 5 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 4 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 11 | 11 |
| Goals conceded | 13 | 6 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Sevilla Atletico: (1.29 weighted goals scored + 0.61 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.95 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Badajoz: (1.02 weighted goals scored + 1.31 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.17 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Sevilla Atletico recent form
1.10 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético CentralSegunda División RFEF - Group 4 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| SanluqueñoSegunda División RFEF - Group 4 | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| MarbellaSegunda División RFEF - Group 4 | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| TamaraceiteSegunda División RFEF - Group 4 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| AlcorconPrimera División RFEF - Group 2 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Villarreal IIPrimera División RFEF - Group 2 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| EldensePrimera División RFEF - Group 2 | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| GimnasticPrimera División RFEF - Group 2 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| AlgecirasPrimera División RFEF - Group 2 | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| IbizaPrimera División RFEF - Group 2 | Away | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Sevilla Atletico’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Badajoz recent form
1.10 goals scored and 0.60 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas IISegunda División RFEF - Group 4 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Real Betis IISegunda División RFEF - Group 4 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| XerezSegunda División RFEF - Group 4 | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Tenerife IISegunda División RFEF - Group 4 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| CuarteTercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| CuarteTercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| MoraloTercera División RFEF - Group 14 | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| MoraloTercera División RFEF - Group 14 | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| JaraízTercera División RFEF - Group 14 | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| JaraízTercera División RFEF - Group 14 | Away | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Badajoz’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Sevilla Atletico are ranked 6 in Group 4, with 8 points from 5 games.
Badajoz are ranked 7 in Group 4, with 8 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Betis II | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 8 | 13 |
| 2 | Recreativo Huelva | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 12 |
| 3 | Don Benito | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 10 |
| 4 | Tenerife II | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 5 | Ciudad de Lucena | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 8 |
| 6 | Sevilla Atletico | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| 7 | Badajoz | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 8 |
| 8 | Estepona | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 | Linares Deportivo | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 7 |
| 10 | Mijas Las Lagunas | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 6 |
| 11 | Sanluqueño | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 6 |
| 12 | Atlético Central | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 6 |
| 13 | Xerez | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 | Marbella | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 5 |
| 15 | Puente Genil | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 4 |
| 16 | Las Palmas II | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -7 | 4 |
| 17 | Tamaraceite | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 3 |
| 18 | Antoniano | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 2 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.