Azadegan League · Regular Season - 4
Shahin Bandar Ameri2–0Saipa
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 4 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawLost
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Azadegan League
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 2–0
- 90-minute score
- 2–0
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Shahin Bandar Ameri vs Saipa: match review and analysis
Shahin Bandar Ameri vs Saipa in Azadegan League on 4 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 2–0. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Shahin Bandar Ameri recorded 1 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 5 and conceding 9. Saipa recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses, with 11 scored and 3 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Shahin Bandar Ameri | Saipa |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 1 | 7 |
| Draws | 5 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 1 |
| Goals scored | 5 | 11 |
| Goals conceded | 9 | 3 |
| Over 1.5 games | 4 | 4 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Shahin Bandar Ameri: (0.52 weighted goals scored + 0.33 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.43 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Saipa: (1.23 weighted goals scored + 0.86 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.04 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Shahin Bandar Ameri recent form
0.50 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 4 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novin AhvazAzadegan League | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Pars Jonoubi JAMAzadegan League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Naft Bandar AbbasAzadegan League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Mes Shahr-e BabakAzadegan League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Chadormalu SCAzadegan League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Ario EslamshahrAzadegan League | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Kheybar KhorramabadAzadegan League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Esteghlal MollasaniAzadegan League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Mes KermanAzadegan League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Shahrdari AstaraAzadegan League | Home | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Shahin Bandar Ameri’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Saipa recent form
1.10 goals scored and 0.30 conceded per game. 4 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Niroye ZaminiAzadegan League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Mes KermanAzadegan League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Mes SoongounAzadegan League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Naft Bandar AbbasAzadegan League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Navad UrmiaAzadegan League | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Shahrdari NoshahrAzadegan League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Fard AlborzAzadegan League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Ario EslamshahrAzadegan League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Pars Jonoubi JAMAzadegan League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| HavadarAzadegan League | Home | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Saipa’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Azadegan League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Saipa are ranked 1 in Regular Season, with 9 points from 4 games.
Shahin Bandar Ameri are ranked 6 in Regular Season, with 6 points from 4 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Saipa | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 9 |
| 2 | Pars Jonoubi JAM | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 |
| 3 | Mes Rafsanjan | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 |
| 4 | Be'sat Kermanshah | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 |
| 5 | Naft Masjed Soleyman | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Shahin Bandar Ameri | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 7 | Shenavarsazi Qeshm | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 |
| 8 | Ario Eslamshahr | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 6 |
| 9 | Naft Bandar Abbas | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 5 |
| 10 | Fard Alborz | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
| 11 | Niroye Zamini | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 12 | Novin Ahvaz | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 3 |
| 13 | Mes Kerman | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 14 | Naft Gachsaran | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 15 | Mes Soongoun | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 2 |
| 16 | Havadar | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.