UEFA Champions League · League Stage - 2
Shakhtar DonetskvsAEK Athens FC
RealScored · Match preview
Match prediction · 14 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- UEFA Champions League
- Venue
- Stamford Bridge
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
Shakhtar Donetsk vs AEK Athens FC: match review and analysis
Shakhtar Donetsk vs AEK Athens FC in UEFA Champions League on 14 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Shakhtar Donetsk recorded 8 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 20 and conceding 4. AEK Athens FC recorded 8 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, with 31 scored and 4 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Shakhtar Donetsk | AEK Athens FC |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 8 | 8 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
| Goals scored | 20 | 31 |
| Goals conceded | 4 | 4 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Shakhtar Donetsk: (2.23 weighted goals scored + 0.51 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.37 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
AEK Athens FC: (2.87 weighted goals scored + 0.32 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.60 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Shakhtar Donetsk recent form
2.00 goals scored and 0.40 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Veres RivnePremier League | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Kryvbas KRFriendlies Clubs | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| LNZ CherkasyPremier League | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| VilkhivtsiCup | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| ChornomoretsPremier League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| PSV EindhovenUEFA Champions League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| KarpatyPremier League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| PolessyaPremier League | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| FC KharkivPremier League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Epitsentr DunayivtsiPremier League | Away | 2–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Shakhtar Donetsk’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
AEK Athens FC recent form
3.10 goals scored and 0.40 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OFISuper League 1 | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Volos NFCSuper League 1 | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| PanserraikosCup | Home | 8–1 | Won | |
| Asteras TripolisSuper League 1 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Lask LinzUEFA Champions League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Aris ThessalonikisSuper League 1 | Home | 5–0 | Won | |
| Nestos ChrisoupolisCup | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| KifisiaSuper League 1 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Levski SofiaUEFA Champions League | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| Iraklis 1908Super League 1 | Home | 4–0 | Won |
Scores shown from AEK Athens FC’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
UEFA Champions League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
AEK Athens FC are ranked 15 in UEFA Champions League, with 3 points from 1 games.
Shakhtar Donetsk are ranked 19 in UEFA Champions League, with 1 points from 1 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting CP | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Paris Saint Germain | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 3 |
| 3 | Bayern München | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 3 |
| 4 | Barcelona | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 3 |
| 5 | Manchester United | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 3 |
| 6 | Como | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 7 | VfB Stuttgart | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | Manchester City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | Aston Villa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Real Betis | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 11 | Borussia Dortmund | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 12 | Liverpool | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 13 | Real Madrid | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 14 | Arsenal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 15 | AEK Athens FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 16 | Lens | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 3 |
| 17 | Sabah FA | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 3 |
| 18 | AS Roma | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 19 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 20 | PSV Eindhoven | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 21 | Fenerbahçe | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 22 | Villarreal | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 |
| 23 | Lille | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 |
| 24 | Club Brugge KV | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 |
| 25 | Inter | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 26 | Atletico Madrid | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 27 | Napoli | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 28 | Lask Linz | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 29 | Viking | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 |
| 30 | Galatasaray | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 |
| 31 | FC Porto | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 32 | Slavia Praha | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 0 |
| 33 | RB Leipzig | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 |
| 34 | Feyenoord | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 |
| 35 | Slovan Bratislava | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 0 |
| 36 | Bodo/Glimt | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.